Predictions › Spain › Sevilla vs Real Betis
LaLigaSat 21 Nov, 17:30 Spain time

Sevilla vs Real Betis prediction

Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium

SevillaHome
1.23 : 1.46
expected goals
Real BetisAway
31%Sevilla
27%Draw
42%Betis
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sevilla vs Real Betis is Real Betis to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Real Betis to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sevilla 1.2, Real Betis 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.741 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sevilla 31%, the draw 27% and Real Betis 42%. The bookmakers agree and make Real Betis the favourite at 2.20.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sevilla took 5 points from their last 5 games and Real Betis took 10 from 5. Real Betis come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sevilla won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Real Betis won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sevilla score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Real Betis score 1.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Sevilla games and 12 of Real Betis games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sevilla won 0 and Real Betis won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Real Betis 2, Sevilla 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Betisrecent form+3%
Sevilla form D L W W LBetis form W L W D WHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sevilla vs Real Betis: Real Betis shade it

The big picture

Sevilla host Real Betis in the LaLiga on Sat 21 Nov, 17:30 at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium. Our prediction for Sevilla vs Real Betis is Real Betis to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Sevilla form

Sevilla have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Real Betis form

Real Betis have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sevilla won 0, Real Betis won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Real Betis 2, Sevilla 2.

Our call

We expect Sevilla to score about 1.2 goals and Real Betis about 1.5. That points to Real Betis to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.74.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SevillaBetis
Games played2020
Wins913
Draws33
Losses84
Goals scored2635
Goals conceded2928
Scored per game1.31.8
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record6W 1D 3L9W 0D 1L
Away record3W 2D 5L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets25%35%
Both teams scored60%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Sevilla to win31%3.243.00-7.4%
A Draw27%3.763.50-6.8%
Real Betis to win40%2.482.20-11.4%
Over 2.5 goals49%2.041.71-16.1%
Under 2.5 goals44%2.272.05-9.6%
Sevilla +0.552%1.931.61-16.7%
Real Betis -0.541%2.432.10-13.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals50%1.98
Over 3.5 goals28%3.52
Both teams to score55%1.81
Sevilla or Draw58%1.71
Real Betis or Draw69%1.45
Sevilla to win and Over 2.518%5.41
Real Betis to win and Over 2.525%3.96
Sevilla clean sheet23%4.30
Real Betis clean sheet29%3.43

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
0-19.1%
1-28.9%
1-07.6%
2-17.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Sevilla vs Real Betis?

Our prediction for Sevilla vs Real Betis is Real Betis to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Sevilla vs Real Betis?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Sevilla to score 1.2 goals and Real Betis 1.5.

Will both teams score in Sevilla vs Real Betis?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Sevilla last 20 games and 13 of Real Betis last 20.

How are Sevilla playing?

Sevilla have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, D, newest first.

How are Real Betis playing?

Real Betis have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Sevilla and Real Betis last met?

It ended Real Betis 2, Sevilla 2. In the last 2 meetings Sevilla won 0 and Real Betis won 1.

What is the best bet for Sevilla vs Real Betis?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sevilla against Betis. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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