Predictions › Champions League › Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP

Champions LeagueTue 3 Nov, 17:45 UTC

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP prediction

Stamford Bridge

Shakhtar DonetskHome

1.22 : 1.78

expected goals

Sporting CPAway

26%Shakhtar

25%Draw

50%Sporting

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP is Sporting CP to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction: Sporting CP to win
Chance: 50%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.2, Sporting CP 1.8
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score: 59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

81% chanceFair price 1.242 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sporting CP to win and Over 2.5

33% chanceFair price 3.051 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Shakhtar Donetsk 26%, the draw 25% and Sporting CP 50%. The bookmakers agree and make Sporting CP the favourite at 1.91.
2
Recent form
Shakhtar Donetsk took 4 points from their last 5 games and Sporting CP took 8 from 5. Sporting CP come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Shakhtar Donetsk won 3 of their last 7 games at home. Sporting CP won 5 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Shakhtar Donetsk score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.2. Sporting CP score 2.2 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Shakhtar Donetsk games and 13 of Sporting CP games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Shakhtarrecent form-1%
Sportingrecent form+3%

Shakhtar form D W D L LSporting form D W W D DHome edge in this league 33% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: Sporting CP are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Shakhtar Donetsk host Sporting CP in the Champions League on Tue 3 Nov, 17:45 at Stamford Bridge. Our prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP is Sporting CP to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Shakhtar Donetsk form

Shakhtar Donetsk have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Sporting CP form

Sporting CP have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Shakhtar Donetsk to score about 1.2 goals and Sporting CP about 1.8. That points to Sporting CP to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Sporting CP to win and Over 2.5 at 3.05.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Shakhtar	Sporting
Games played	15	20
Wins	7	11
Draws	3	6
Losses	5	3
Goals scored	25	44
Goals conceded	18	21
Scored per game	1.7	2.2
Conceded per game	1.2	1.1
Home record	3W 1D 3L	6W 2D 3L
Away record	4W 2D 2L	5W 4D 0L
Clean sheets	27%	30%
Both teams scored	67%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	67%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Shakhtar Donetsk to win	25%	4.07	3.55	-12.7%
A Draw	24%	4.22	3.80	-10.0%
Sporting CP to win	47%	2.13	1.91	-10.2%
Over 2.5 goals	52%	1.92	1.65	-14.5%
Under 2.5 goals	42%	2.37	2.15	-9.1%
Shakhtar Donetsk +0.5	47%	2.12	1.80	-15.2%
Sporting CP -0.5	47%	2.12	1.80	-15.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.24
Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.73
Over 3.5 goals	35%	2.82
Both teams to score	59%	1.69
Shakhtar Donetsk or Draw	50%	2.00
Sporting CP or Draw	74%	1.34
Shakhtar Donetsk to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.08
Sporting CP to win and Over 2.5	34%	2.95
Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet	17%	5.95
Sporting CP clean sheet	29%	3.40

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%

1-29.6%

0-18.2%

0-27.9%

2-16.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Champions League

Shakhtar Donetsk Move Champions League Games to Stamford Bridge

Shakhtar Donetsk will play four Champions League home matches at Stamford Bridge in London this season.

12 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?

Our prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP is Sporting CP to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Shakhtar Donetsk to score 1.2 goals and Sporting CP 1.8.

Will both teams score in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Shakhtar Donetsk last 15 games and 13 of Sporting CP last 20.

How are Shakhtar Donetsk playing?

How are Sporting CP playing?

What is the best bet for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Shakhtar against Sporting. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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