Predictions › United Kingdom › Sheffield United vs Lincoln City

ChampionshipSat 10 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Sheffield United vs Lincoln City prediction

Bramall Lane

Sheffield UnitedHome

1.42 : 1.17

expected goals

Lincoln CityAway

42%Sheffield Utd

28%Draw

30%Lincoln City

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sheffield United vs Lincoln City is Sheffield United to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction: Sheffield United to win
Chance: 42%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Sheffield United 1.4, Lincoln City 1.2
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score: 53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

74% chanceFair price 1/31 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Lincoln City to win

29% chancePrice 12/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Sheffield United 42%, the draw 28% and Lincoln City 30%. The bookmakers agree and make Sheffield United the favourite at 21/20.
2
Recent form
Sheffield United took 3 points from their last 5 games and Lincoln City took 7 from 5. Lincoln City come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Sheffield United won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Lincoln City won 8 of their last 12 on the road.
4
Goals
Sheffield United score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Lincoln City score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Sheffield United games and 12 of Lincoln City games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Sheffield Utdrecent form-4%

Sheffield Utd form L L L W LLincoln City form L W W L DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sheffield United vs Lincoln City: Sheffield United shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sheffield United host Lincoln City in the Championship on Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 at Bramall Lane. Our prediction for Sheffield United vs Lincoln City is Sheffield United to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Sheffield United form

Sheffield United have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Lincoln City form

Lincoln City have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sheffield United to score about 1.4 goals and Lincoln City about 1.2. That points to Sheffield United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Lincoln City to win at 12/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Sheffield Utd	Lincoln City
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	12
Draws	5	4
Losses	8	4
Goals scored	28	33
Goals conceded	28	23
Scored per game	1.4	1.6
Conceded per game	1.4	1.1
Home record	2W 2D 5L	4W 2D 2L
Away record	5W 3D 3L	8W 2D 2L
Clean sheets	20%	40%
Both teams scored	65%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Sheffield United to win	39%	8/5	21/20	-19.8%
A Draw	27%	11/4	5/2	-7.3%
Lincoln City to win	29%	12/5	12/5	-0.4%
Over 2.5 goals	46%	6/5	5/6	-14.1%
Under 2.5 goals	48%	11/10	5/6	-12.3%
Sheffield United -0.5	42%	11/8	10/11	-17.8%
Lincoln City +0.5	52%	10/11	4/6	-12.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	74%	4/11
Over 2.5 goals	48%	11/10
Over 3.5 goals	26%	11/4
Both teams to score	53%	10/11
Sheffield United or Draw	70%	4/9
Lincoln City or Draw	58%	8/11
Sheffield United to win and Over 2.5	25%	3/1
Lincoln City to win and Over 2.5	17%	5/1
Sheffield United clean sheet	31%	11/5
Lincoln City clean sheet	24%	3/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%

1-09.9%

2-18.9%

0-08.2%

0-18.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sheffield United vs Lincoln City?

Our prediction for Sheffield United vs Lincoln City is Sheffield United to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Sheffield United vs Lincoln City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Sheffield United to score 1.4 goals and Lincoln City 1.2.

Will both teams score in Sheffield United vs Lincoln City?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Sheffield United last 20 games and 11 of Lincoln City last 20.

How are Sheffield United playing?

How are Lincoln City playing?

What is the best bet for Sheffield United vs Lincoln City?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sheffield Utd against Lincoln City. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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