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Predictions › United Kingdom › Sheffield United vs Watford
ChampionshipSat 21 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Sheffield United vs Watford prediction

Bramall Lane

Sheffield UnitedHome
1.90 : 0.94
expected goals
WatfordAway
59%Sheffield Utd
23%Draw
17%Watford
Eagle safe pickSheffield United or Draw
2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sheffield United vs Watford is Sheffield United to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sheffield United or Draw at 2/9.

Prediction
Sheffield United to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sheffield United 1.9, Watford 0.9
Best bet
Sheffield United or Draw at 2/9
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sheffield United or Draw
82% chanceFair price 2/92 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sheffield United to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 13/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sheffield United 59%, the draw 23% and Watford 17%. The bookmakers agree and make Sheffield United the favourite at 8/13.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sheffield United took 10 points from their last 5 games and Watford took 7 from 5. Sheffield United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sheffield United won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Watford won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sheffield United score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.3. Watford score 0.8 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Sheffield United games and 10 of Watford games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sheffield United won 2 and Watford won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Watford 0, Sheffield United 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Sheffield United or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sheffield Utdrecent form+4%
Sheffield Utd form D W W D WWatford form D W L L WHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sheffield United vs Watford: Sheffield United are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sheffield United host Watford in the Championship on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at Bramall Lane. Our prediction for Sheffield United vs Watford is Sheffield United to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sheffield United or Draw at 2/9.

Sheffield United form

Sheffield United have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Watford form

Watford have 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sheffield United won 2, Watford won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Watford 0, Sheffield United 2.

Our call

We expect Sheffield United to score about 1.9 goals and Watford about 0.9. That points to Sheffield United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sheffield United or Draw at 2/9. Our bold bet is Sheffield United to win and Over 2.5 at 13/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sheffield UtdWatford
Games played2020
Wins95
Draws43
Losses712
Goals scored3016
Goals conceded2540
Scored per game1.50.8
Conceded per game1.32.0
Home record3W 2D 3L5W 2D 4L
Away record6W 2D 4L0W 1D 8L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored60%45%
Over 2.5 goals65%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Sheffield United to win53%5/68/13-14.1%
A Draw23%7/23/1-9.8%
Watford to win17%5/14/1-17.2%
Over 2.5 goals49%21/208/11-14.4%
Under 2.5 goals44%5/4Evens-12.3%
Sheffield United -0.553%10/114/7-17.4%
Watford +0.540%6/46/5-12.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%2/7
Over 2.5 goals54%5/6
Over 3.5 goals32%11/5
Both teams to score52%10/11
Sheffield United or Draw83%2/9
Watford or Draw41%6/4
Sheffield United to win and Over 2.538%13/8
Watford to win and Over 2.510%9/1
Sheffield United clean sheet39%6/4
Watford clean sheet15%11/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
2-010.6%
1-010.5%
2-19.9%
3-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sheffield United vs Watford?

Our prediction for Sheffield United vs Watford is Sheffield United to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sheffield United or Draw at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for Sheffield United vs Watford?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-0. We expect Sheffield United to score 1.9 goals and Watford 0.9.

Will both teams score in Sheffield United vs Watford?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Sheffield United last 20 games and 9 of Watford last 20.

How are Sheffield United playing?

Sheffield United have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Watford playing?

Watford have 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Sheffield United and Watford last met?

It ended Watford 0, Sheffield United 2. In the last 2 meetings Sheffield United won 2 and Watford won 0.

What is the best bet for Sheffield United vs Watford?

Sheffield United or Draw at 2/9, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sheffield Utd against Watford. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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