Predictions › United Kingdom › Sheffield United vs Wrexham
ChampionshipFri 30 Oct, 20:00 United Kingdom time

Sheffield United vs Wrexham prediction

Bramall Lane

Sheffield UnitedHome
1.57 : 1.24
expected goals
WrexhamAway
44%Sheffield Utd
26%Draw
29%Wrexham
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sheffield United vs Wrexham is Sheffield United to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Prediction
Sheffield United to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sheffield United 1.6, Wrexham 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/7
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 2/72 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sheffield United to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 11/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sheffield United 44%, the draw 26% and Wrexham 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sheffield United took 6 points from their last 5 games and Wrexham took 7 from 5. Wrexham come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sheffield United won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Wrexham won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sheffield United score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. Wrexham score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Sheffield United games and 11 of Wrexham games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sheffield United won 0 and Wrexham won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sheffield United 1, Wrexham 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sheffield Utdrecent form-1%
  • Wrexhamrecent form-1%
Sheffield Utd form W L W L LWrexham form D L D W LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sheffield United vs Wrexham: Sheffield United shade it

The big picture

Sheffield United host Wrexham in the Championship on Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 at Bramall Lane. Our prediction for Sheffield United vs Wrexham is Sheffield United to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Sheffield United form

Sheffield United have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Wrexham form

Wrexham have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sheffield United won 0, Wrexham won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sheffield United 1, Wrexham 2.

Our call

We expect Sheffield United to score about 1.6 goals and Wrexham about 1.2. That points to Sheffield United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7. Our bold bet is Sheffield United to win and Over 2.5 at 11/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sheffield UtdWrexham
Games played2020
Wins96
Draws37
Losses87
Goals scored2926
Goals conceded2532
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game1.31.6
Home record3W 1D 4L3W 3D 3L
Away record6W 2D 4L3W 4D 4L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%2/7
Over 2.5 goals53%5/6
Over 3.5 goals31%11/5
Both teams to score57%8/11
Sheffield United or Draw71%2/5
Wrexham or Draw56%4/5
Sheffield United to win and Over 2.528%5/2
Wrexham to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Sheffield United clean sheet29%5/2
Wrexham clean sheet21%4/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
2-19.2%
1-08.7%
2-07.4%
1-27.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Sheffield United vs Wrexham?

Our prediction for Sheffield United vs Wrexham is Sheffield United to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Sheffield United vs Wrexham?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Sheffield United to score 1.6 goals and Wrexham 1.2.

Will both teams score in Sheffield United vs Wrexham?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Sheffield United last 20 games and 13 of Wrexham last 20.

How are Sheffield United playing?

Sheffield United have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Wrexham playing?

Wrexham have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Sheffield United and Wrexham last met?

It ended Sheffield United 1, Wrexham 2. In the last 2 meetings Sheffield United won 0 and Wrexham won 2.

What is the best bet for Sheffield United vs Wrexham?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/7, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sheffield Utd against Wrexham. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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