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Predictions › United Kingdom › Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon
League OneSat 17 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon prediction

Hillsborough

Sheffield WednesdayHome
1.78 : 0.94
expected goals
AFC WimbledonAway
57%Sheffield Wed
24%Draw
19%Wimbledon
Eagle safe pickSheffield Wednesday or Draw
2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon is Sheffield Wednesday to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sheffield Wednesday or Draw at 2/7.

Prediction
Sheffield Wednesday to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sheffield Wednesday 1.8, AFC Wimbledon 0.9
Best bet
Sheffield Wednesday or Draw at 2/7
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sheffield Wednesday or Draw
78% chanceFair price 2/72 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sheffield Wednesday to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sheffield Wednesday 57%, the draw 24% and AFC Wimbledon 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sheffield Wednesday took 11 points from their last 5 games and AFC Wimbledon took 8 from 5. Sheffield Wednesday come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sheffield Wednesday won 3 of their last 11 games at home. AFC Wimbledon won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sheffield Wednesday score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. AFC Wimbledon score 0.6 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Sheffield Wednesday games and 8 of AFC Wimbledon games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Sheffield Wednesday or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sheffield Wedrecent form+3%
  • Wimbledonrecent form+3%
Sheffield Wed form D W D D WWimbledon form D D D W WHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon: Sheffield Wednesday are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sheffield Wednesday host AFC Wimbledon in the League One on Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 at Hillsborough. Our prediction for Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon is Sheffield Wednesday to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sheffield Wednesday or Draw at 2/7.

Sheffield Wednesday form

Sheffield Wednesday have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.

AFC Wimbledon form

AFC Wimbledon have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sheffield Wednesday to score about 1.8 goals and AFC Wimbledon about 0.9. That points to Sheffield Wednesday to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sheffield Wednesday or Draw at 2/7. Our bold bet is Sheffield Wednesday to win and Over 2.5 at 2/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sheffield WedWimbledon
Games played2020
Wins64
Draws65
Losses811
Goals scored2212
Goals conceded2634
Scored per game1.10.6
Conceded per game1.31.7
Home record3W 5D 3L2W 4D 5L
Away record3W 1D 5L2W 1D 6L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored55%30%
Over 2.5 goals40%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%3/10
Over 2.5 goals51%10/11
Over 3.5 goals29%12/5
Both teams to score51%10/11
Sheffield Wednesday or Draw81%2/9
AFC Wimbledon or Draw43%5/4
Sheffield Wednesday to win and Over 2.535%15/8
AFC Wimbledon to win and Over 2.511%17/2
Sheffield Wednesday clean sheet39%8/5
AFC Wimbledon clean sheet17%5/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
1-011.0%
2-010.4%
2-19.8%
0-07.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon?

Our prediction for Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon is Sheffield Wednesday to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sheffield Wednesday or Draw at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Sheffield Wednesday to score 1.8 goals and AFC Wimbledon 0.9.

Will both teams score in Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Sheffield Wednesday last 20 games and 6 of AFC Wimbledon last 20.

How are Sheffield Wednesday playing?

Sheffield Wednesday have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.

How are AFC Wimbledon playing?

AFC Wimbledon have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon?

Sheffield Wednesday or Draw at 2/7, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sheffield Wed against Wimbledon. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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