EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Japan › Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka
J1 LeagueSat 17 Oct, 04:00 Japan time

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka prediction

IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shimizu S-PulseHome
1.16 : 1.11
expected goals
Gamba OsakaAway
36%Shimizu
30%Draw
34%Gamba Osaka
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka is Shimizu S-Pulse to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Shimizu S-Pulse to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Shimizu S-Pulse 1.2, Gamba Osaka 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.091 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Shimizu S-Pulse 36%, the draw 30% and Gamba Osaka 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Shimizu S-Pulse took 7 points from their last 5 games and Gamba Osaka took 2 from 5. Shimizu S-Pulse come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Shimizu S-Pulse won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Gamba Osaka won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Shimizu S-Pulse score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.3. Gamba Osaka score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Shimizu S-Pulse games and 9 of Gamba Osaka games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Shimizu S-Pulse won 0 and Gamba Osaka won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Shimizu S-Pulse 1, Gamba Osaka 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Gamba Osakarecent form-3%
Shimizu form W W L D LGamba Osaka form L W L L DHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka: Shimizu S-Pulse shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Shimizu S-Pulse host Gamba Osaka in the J1 League on Sat 17 Oct, 04:00 at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Our prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka is Shimizu S-Pulse to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Shimizu S-Pulse form

Shimizu S-Pulse have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Gamba Osaka form

Gamba Osaka have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Shimizu S-Pulse won 0, Gamba Osaka won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Shimizu S-Pulse 1, Gamba Osaka 2.

Our call

We expect Shimizu S-Pulse to score about 1.2 goals and Gamba Osaka about 1.1. That points to Shimizu S-Pulse to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.09.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ShimizuGamba Osaka
Games played2020
Wins55
Draws57
Losses108
Goals scored1728
Goals conceded2628
Scored per game0.81.4
Conceded per game1.31.4
Home record2W 4D 5L3W 3D 5L
Away record3W 1D 5L2W 4D 3L
Clean sheets15%15%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals35%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals67%1.49
Over 2.5 goals40%2.52
Over 3.5 goals19%5.13
Both teams to score47%2.13
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw66%1.51
Gamba Osaka or Draw64%1.56
Shimizu S-Pulse to win and Over 2.518%5.57
Gamba Osaka to win and Over 2.517%5.97
Shimizu S-Pulse clean sheet33%3.05
Gamba Osaka clean sheet31%3.18

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.1%
1-011.1%
0-011.1%
0-110.7%
2-17.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

Our prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka is Shimizu S-Pulse to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Shimizu S-Pulse to score 1.2 goals and Gamba Osaka 1.1.

Will both teams score in Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Shimizu S-Pulse last 20 games and 12 of Gamba Osaka last 20.

How are Shimizu S-Pulse playing?

Shimizu S-Pulse have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Gamba Osaka playing?

Gamba Osaka have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Shimizu S-Pulse and Gamba Osaka last met?

It ended Shimizu S-Pulse 1, Gamba Osaka 2. In the last 2 meetings Shimizu S-Pulse won 0 and Gamba Osaka won 1.

What is the best bet for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Shimizu against Gamba Osaka. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.