Predictions › Denmark › Silkeborg IF vs AC Horsens

Danish SuperligaSun 11 Oct, 12:00 Denmark time

Silkeborg IF vs AC Horsens prediction

JYSK Park

Silkeborg IFHome

1.51 : 1.35

expected goals

AC HorsensAway

40%Silkeborg

26%Draw

33%AC Horsens

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Silkeborg IF vs AC Horsens is Silkeborg IF to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction: Silkeborg IF to win
Chance: 40%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Silkeborg IF 1.5, AC Horsens 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score: 58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 1.302 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Silkeborg IF to win and Over 2.5

25% chanceFair price 3.951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Silkeborg IF 40%, the draw 26% and AC Horsens 33%. The bookmakers agree and make Silkeborg IF the favourite at 2.15.
2
Recent form
Silkeborg IF took 6 points from their last 5 games and AC Horsens took 7 from 5. AC Horsens come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Silkeborg IF won 3 of their last 9 games at home. AC Horsens won 2 of their last 4 on the road.
4
Goals
Silkeborg IF score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.8. AC Horsens score 1.7 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Silkeborg IF games and 6 of AC Horsens games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Silkeborg form W D D D LAC Horsens form D L W L WHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Silkeborg IF vs AC Horsens: Silkeborg IF shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Silkeborg IF host AC Horsens in the Danish Superliga on Sun 11 Oct, 12:00 at JYSK Park. Our prediction for Silkeborg IF vs AC Horsens is Silkeborg IF to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Silkeborg IF form

Silkeborg IF have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

AC Horsens form

AC Horsens have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 9 games, with 15 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Silkeborg IF to score about 1.5 goals and AC Horsens about 1.4. That points to Silkeborg IF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Silkeborg IF to win and Over 2.5 at 3.95.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Silkeborg	AC Horsens
Games played	20	9
Wins	7	3
Draws	6	2
Losses	7	4
Goals scored	30	15
Goals conceded	36	16
Scored per game	1.5	1.7
Conceded per game	1.8	1.8
Home record	3W 4D 2L	1W 2D 2L
Away record	4W 2D 5L	2W 0D 2L
Clean sheets	20%	0%
Both teams scored	65%	78%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	67%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Silkeborg IF to win	38%	2.64	2.15	-18.5%
A Draw	26%	3.90	3.55	-8.9%
AC Horsens to win	32%	3.12	3.00	-3.8%
Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.96	1.69	-13.6%
Under 2.5 goals	43%	2.33	2.00	-14.1%
Silkeborg IF -0.5	40%	2.47	2.05	-17.1%
AC Horsens +0.5	54%	1.86	1.63	-12.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.27
Over 2.5 goals	55%	1.83
Over 3.5 goals	32%	3.11
Both teams to score	58%	1.71
Silkeborg IF or Draw	67%	1.50
AC Horsens or Draw	60%	1.68
Silkeborg IF to win and Over 2.5	26%	3.86
AC Horsens to win and Over 2.5	21%	4.74
Silkeborg IF clean sheet	26%	3.87
AC Horsens clean sheet	22%	4.52

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%

2-18.8%

1-07.9%

1-27.9%

0-17.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Silkeborg IF vs AC Horsens?

Our prediction for Silkeborg IF vs AC Horsens is Silkeborg IF to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Silkeborg IF vs AC Horsens?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Silkeborg IF to score 1.5 goals and AC Horsens 1.4.

Will both teams score in Silkeborg IF vs AC Horsens?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Silkeborg IF last 20 games and 7 of AC Horsens last 9.

How are Silkeborg IF playing?

How are AC Horsens playing?

What is the best bet for Silkeborg IF vs AC Horsens?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Silkeborg against AC Horsens. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.