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Predictions › Conference League › Sint-Truidense vs SK Brann
Conference LeagueThu 5 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Sint-Truidense vs SK Brann prediction

Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium

Sint-TruidenseHome
1.71 : 1.34
expected goals
SK BrannAway
45%Sint-Truidense
25%Draw
30%SK Brann
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sint-Truidense vs SK Brann is Sint-Truidense to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Sint-Truidense to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sint-Truidense 1.7, SK Brann 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sint-Truidense to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.361 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sint-Truidense 45%, the draw 25% and SK Brann 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sint-Truidense took 6 points from their last 5 games and SK Brann took 6 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sint-Truidense won 5 of their last 10 games at home. SK Brann won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sint-Truidense score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.4. SK Brann score 1.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Sint-Truidense games and 17 of SK Brann games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sint-Truidenserest between games-5%
  • SK Brannrest between games-5%
Sint-Truidense form D W W L LSK Brann form D W L W LHome edge in this league 36% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sint-Truidense vs SK Brann: Sint-Truidense are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sint-Truidense host SK Brann in the Conference League on Thu 5 Nov, 20:00 at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium. Our prediction for Sint-Truidense vs SK Brann is Sint-Truidense to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Sint-Truidense form

Sint-Truidense have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

SK Brann form

SK Brann have 10 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sint-Truidense to score about 1.7 goals and SK Brann about 1.3. That points to Sint-Truidense to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Sint-Truidense to win and Over 2.5 at 3.36.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sint-TruidenseSK Brann
Games played2020
Wins810
Draws41
Losses89
Goals scored3437
Goals conceded2931
Scored per game1.71.9
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record5W 2D 3L7W 0D 4L
Away record3W 2D 5L3W 1D 5L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored50%75%
Over 2.5 goals55%85%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.70
Over 3.5 goals37%2.74
Both teams to score61%1.63
Sint-Truidense or Draw70%1.42
SK Brann or Draw55%1.83
Sint-Truidense to win and Over 2.531%3.21
SK Brann to win and Over 2.520%5.08
Sint-Truidense clean sheet26%3.84
SK Brann clean sheet18%5.53

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.5%
2-19.3%
1-07.4%
1-27.3%
2-06.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sint-Truidense vs SK Brann?

Our prediction for Sint-Truidense vs SK Brann is Sint-Truidense to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Sint-Truidense vs SK Brann?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Sint-Truidense to score 1.7 goals and SK Brann 1.3.

Will both teams score in Sint-Truidense vs SK Brann?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Sint-Truidense last 20 games and 15 of SK Brann last 20.

How are Sint-Truidense playing?

Sint-Truidense have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are SK Brann playing?

SK Brann have 10 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sint-Truidense vs SK Brann?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sint-Truidense against SK Brann. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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