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Predictions › South Africa › Siwelele vs Polokwane City FC
South African PremiershipSun 18 Oct, 15:30 South Africa time

Siwelele vs Polokwane City FC prediction

Free State Stadium

SiweleleHome
1.02 : 0.77
expected goals
Polokwane City FCAway
40%Siwelele
34%Draw
26%Polokwane
Eagle safe pickSiwelele or Draw
1.34

Quick answer

Our prediction for Siwelele vs Polokwane City FC is Siwelele to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Siwelele or Draw at 1.34.

Prediction
Siwelele to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Siwelele 1.0, Polokwane City FC 0.8
Best bet
Siwelele or Draw at 1.34
Both teams to score
35%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Siwelele or Draw
75% chanceFair price 1.341 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
18% chanceFair price 5.711 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Siwelele 40%, the draw 34% and Polokwane City FC 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Siwelele took 2 points from their last 5 games and Polokwane City FC took 3 from 5. Polokwane City FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Siwelele won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Polokwane City FC won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Siwelele score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Polokwane City FC score 0.8 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Siwelele games and 6 of Polokwane City FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Siwelele won 0 and Polokwane City FC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Polokwane City FC 0, Siwelele 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Siwelele or Draw has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Siwelelerecent form-4%
  • Polokwanerecent form-3%
  • Siwelelerest between games-3%
Siwelele form D L L D LPolokwane form L D D D LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Siwelele vs Polokwane City FC: Siwelele shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Siwelele host Polokwane City FC in the South African Premiership on Sun 18 Oct, 15:30 at Free State Stadium. Our prediction for Siwelele vs Polokwane City FC is Siwelele to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Siwelele or Draw at 1.34.

Siwelele form

Siwelele have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Polokwane City FC form

Polokwane City FC have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Siwelele won 0, Polokwane City FC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Polokwane City FC 0, Siwelele 0.

Our call

We expect Siwelele to score about 1.0 goals and Polokwane City FC about 0.8. That points to Siwelele to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Siwelele or Draw at 1.34. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 5.71.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SiwelelePolokwane
Games played2020
Wins44
Draws1010
Losses66
Goals scored2116
Goals conceded2720
Scored per game1.10.8
Conceded per game1.41.0
Home record4W 6D 0L1W 5D 4L
Away record0W 4D 6L3W 5D 2L
Clean sheets35%35%
Both teams scored45%40%
Over 2.5 goals30%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals54%1.85
Over 2.5 goals27%3.76
Over 3.5 goals11%9.36
Both teams to score35%2.85
Siwelele or Draw74%1.35
Polokwane City FC or Draw60%1.66
Siwelele to win and Over 2.515%6.78
Polokwane City FC to win and Over 2.59%11.04
Siwelele clean sheet46%2.16
Polokwane City FC clean sheet36%2.77

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-017.5%
1-016.2%
1-113.9%
0-112.1%
2-08.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Siwelele vs Polokwane City FC?

Our prediction for Siwelele vs Polokwane City FC is Siwelele to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Siwelele or Draw at 1.34.

What is the score prediction for Siwelele vs Polokwane City FC?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Siwelele to score 1.0 goals and Polokwane City FC 0.8.

Will both teams score in Siwelele vs Polokwane City FC?

Both teams to score has a 35% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Siwelele last 20 games and 8 of Polokwane City FC last 20.

How are Siwelele playing?

Siwelele have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Polokwane City FC playing?

Polokwane City FC have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Siwelele and Polokwane City FC last met?

It ended Polokwane City FC 0, Siwelele 0. In the last 1 meeting Siwelele won 0 and Polokwane City FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Siwelele vs Polokwane City FC?

Siwelele or Draw at 1.34, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Siwelele against Polokwane. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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