PredictionsNorwaySK Brann vs Bodo/Glimt
EliteserienSun 20 Sept, 17:15 Norway time

SK Brann vs Bodo/Glimt prediction

Brann Stadium

SK BrannHome
1.38 : 2.03
expected goals
Bodo/GlimtAway
25%SK Brann
23%Draw
52%Bodo/Glimt
Eagle safe pickBodo/Glimt or Draw
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for SK Brann vs Bodo/Glimt is Bodo/Glimt to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Bodo/Glimt or Draw at 1.32.

Prediction
Bodo/Glimt to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
SK Brann 1.4, Bodo/Glimt 2.0
Best bet
Bodo/Glimt or Draw at 1.32
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Bodo/Glimt or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units

Eagle bold pick

Bodo/Glimt to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 2.771 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SK Brann 25%, the draw 23% and Bodo/Glimt 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    SK Brann took 7 points from their last 5 games and Bodo/Glimt took 12 from 5. Bodo/Glimt come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    SK Brann won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Bodo/Glimt won 7 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    SK Brann score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.5. Bodo/Glimt score 2.5 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of SK Brann games and 15 of Bodo/Glimt games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, SK Brann won 0 and Bodo/Glimt won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Bodo/Glimt 3, SK Brann 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bodo/Glimt or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • SK Brannrecent form+1%
  • Bodo/Glimtrecent form+4%
  • Bodo/Glimtrest between games-2%
SK Brann form L D W D WBodo/Glimt form L W W W WHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SK Brann vs Bodo/Glimt: Bodo/Glimt are favourites

The big picture

SK Brann host Bodo/Glimt in the Eliteserien on Sun 20 Sept, 17:15 at Brann Stadium. Our prediction for SK Brann vs Bodo/Glimt is Bodo/Glimt to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Bodo/Glimt or Draw at 1.32.

SK Brann form

SK Brann have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Bodo/Glimt form

Bodo/Glimt have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. SK Brann won 0, Bodo/Glimt won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Bodo/Glimt 3, SK Brann 1.

Our call

We expect SK Brann to score about 1.4 goals and Bodo/Glimt about 2.0. That points to Bodo/Glimt to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Bodo/Glimt or Draw at 1.32. Our bold bet is Bodo/Glimt to win and Over 2.5 at 2.77.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SK BrannBodo/Glimt
Games played2020
Wins815
Draws22
Losses103
Goals scored3749
Goals conceded3020
Scored per game1.92.5
Conceded per game1.51.0
Home record5W 0D 5L8W 0D 1L
Away record3W 2D 5L7W 2D 2L
Clean sheets15%50%
Both teams scored75%35%
Over 2.5 goals80%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1.16
Over 2.5 goals66%1.51
Over 3.5 goals44%2.26
Both teams to score65%1.53
SK Brann or Draw48%2.09
Bodo/Glimt or Draw75%1.34
SK Brann to win and Over 2.518%5.50
Bodo/Glimt to win and Over 2.539%2.56
SK Brann clean sheet13%7.61
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet25%3.96

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.8%
1-29.4%
0-26.8%
2-26.5%
2-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SK Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?

Our prediction for SK Brann vs Bodo/Glimt is Bodo/Glimt to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Bodo/Glimt or Draw at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for SK Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect SK Brann to score 1.4 goals and Bodo/Glimt 2.0.

Will both teams score in SK Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of SK Brann last 20 games and 7 of Bodo/Glimt last 20.

How are SK Brann playing?

SK Brann have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Bodo/Glimt playing?

Bodo/Glimt have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when SK Brann and Bodo/Glimt last met?

It ended Bodo/Glimt 3, SK Brann 1. In the last 2 meetings SK Brann won 0 and Bodo/Glimt won 2.

What is the best bet for SK Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?

Bodo/Glimt or Draw at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in SK Brann against Bodo/Glimt. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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