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Predictions › Conference League › SK Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps
Conference LeagueThu 15 Oct, 19:00 UTC

SK Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps prediction

Brann Stadium

SK BrannHome
3.13 : 0.95
expected goals
Lincoln Red ImpsAway
80%SK Brann
13%Draw
8%Red Imps
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for SK Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps is SK Brann to win, with a 80% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
SK Brann to win
Chance
80%
Most likely score
3-0
Expected goals
SK Brann 3.1, Lincoln Red Imps 0.9
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

SK Brann to win and both score
41% chanceFair price 2.471 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SK Brann 80%, the draw 13% and Lincoln Red Imps 8%. The bookmakers agree and make SK Brann the favourite at 1.14.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    SK Brann took 7 points from their last 5 games and Lincoln Red Imps took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    SK Brann won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Lincoln Red Imps won 0 of their last 3 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    SK Brann score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Lincoln Red Imps score 1.2 and let in 2.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of SK Brann games and 5 of Lincoln Red Imps games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Red Impsrecent form-1%
  • Red Impsrest between games-3%
SK Brann form W L L D WRed Imps form W L L D DHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SK Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps: SK Brann are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SK Brann host Lincoln Red Imps in the Conference League on Thu 15 Oct, 19:00 at Brann Stadium. Our prediction for SK Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps is SK Brann to win, with a 80% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.31.

SK Brann form

SK Brann have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Lincoln Red Imps form

Lincoln Red Imps have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 games, with 7 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect SK Brann to score about 3.1 goals and Lincoln Red Imps about 0.9. That points to SK Brann to win, with 3-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is SK Brann to win and both score at 2.47.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SK BrannRed Imps
Games played206
Wins92
Draws21
Losses93
Goals scored377
Goals conceded2915
Scored per game1.91.2
Conceded per game1.42.5
Home record6W 0D 5L2W 1D 0L
Away record3W 2D 4L0W 0D 3L
Clean sheets15%0%
Both teams scored75%83%
Over 2.5 goals80%83%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
SK Brann to win77%1.301.14-11.8%
A Draw11%8.768.00-8.7%
Lincoln Red Imps to win6%17.5114.00-20.1%
Over 3.5 goals49%2.051.91-7.1%
Under 3.5 goals46%2.181.80-17.5%
SK Brann -2.541%2.452.05-16.4%
Lincoln Red Imps +2.554%1.861.63-12.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals92%1.09
Over 2.5 goals77%1.29
Over 3.5 goals58%1.72
Both teams to score59%1.69
SK Brann or Draw92%1.08
Lincoln Red Imps or Draw20%4.92
SK Brann to win and Over 2.566%1.50
Lincoln Red Imps to win and Over 2.56%17.62
SK Brann clean sheet38%2.60
Lincoln Red Imps clean sheet4%22.87

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

3-08.6%
2-08.2%
3-18.2%
2-17.9%
4-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SK Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?

Our prediction for SK Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps is SK Brann to win, with a 80% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for SK Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?

3-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 3-1. We expect SK Brann to score 3.1 goals and Lincoln Red Imps 0.9.

Will both teams score in SK Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of SK Brann last 20 games and 5 of Lincoln Red Imps last 6.

How are SK Brann playing?

SK Brann have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Lincoln Red Imps playing?

Lincoln Red Imps have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 games, with 7 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for SK Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in SK Brann against Red Imps. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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