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Predictions › Norway › SK Brann vs Molde
EliteserienSun 1 Nov, 13:30 Norway time

SK Brann vs Molde prediction

Brann Stadium

SK BrannHome
1.74 : 1.90
expected goals
MoldeAway
35%SK Brann
23%Draw
42%Molde
Eagle safe pickBoth teams to score
1.38

Quick answer

Our prediction for SK Brann vs Molde is Molde to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at 1.38.

Prediction
Molde to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
SK Brann 1.7, Molde 1.9
Best bet
Both teams to score at 1.38
Both teams to score
71%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Both teams to score
72% chanceFair price 1.381 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Molde to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.151 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SK Brann 35%, the draw 23% and Molde 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    SK Brann took 6 points from their last 5 games and Molde took 10 from 5. Molde come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    SK Brann won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Molde won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    SK Brann score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.6. Molde score 2.5 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of SK Brann games and 15 of Molde games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, SK Brann won 1 and Molde won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Molde 1, SK Brann 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Both teams to score has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Molderecent form+1%
SK Brann form D W L W LMolde form D D L W WHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SK Brann vs Molde: Molde shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SK Brann host Molde in the Eliteserien on Sun 1 Nov, 13:30 at Brann Stadium. Our prediction for SK Brann vs Molde is Molde to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at 1.38.

SK Brann form

SK Brann have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Molde form

Molde have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. SK Brann won 1, Molde won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Molde 1, SK Brann 2.

Our call

We expect SK Brann to score about 1.7 goals and Molde about 1.9. That points to Molde to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Both teams to score at 1.38. Our bold bet is Molde to win and Over 2.5 at 3.15.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SK BrannMolde
Games played2020
Wins911
Draws24
Losses95
Goals scored3449
Goals conceded3130
Scored per game1.72.5
Conceded per game1.61.5
Home record7W 0D 4L7W 1D 2L
Away record2W 2D 5L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets15%15%
Both teams scored75%80%
Over 2.5 goals80%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%1.13
Over 2.5 goals70%1.42
Over 3.5 goals49%2.03
Both teams to score71%1.42
SK Brann or Draw58%1.72
Molde or Draw65%1.55
SK Brann to win and Over 2.527%3.65
Molde to win and Over 2.533%3.07
SK Brann clean sheet15%6.68
Molde clean sheet18%5.71

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.2%
1-28.2%
2-17.6%
2-27.2%
1-35.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SK Brann vs Molde?

Our prediction for SK Brann vs Molde is Molde to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at 1.38.

What is the score prediction for SK Brann vs Molde?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect SK Brann to score 1.7 goals and Molde 1.9.

Will both teams score in SK Brann vs Molde?

Both teams to score has a 71% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of SK Brann last 20 games and 16 of Molde last 20.

How are SK Brann playing?

SK Brann have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Molde playing?

Molde have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when SK Brann and Molde last met?

It ended Molde 1, SK Brann 2. In the last 2 meetings SK Brann won 1 and Molde won 1.

What is the best bet for SK Brann vs Molde?

Both teams to score at 1.38, with a 72% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in SK Brann against Molde. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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