Predictions › Norway › SK Brann vs Viking FK

EliteserienFri 9 Oct, 17:00 Norway time

SK Brann vs Viking FK prediction

Brann Stadium

SK BrannHome

1.46 : 1.69

expected goals

Viking FKAway

33%SK Brann

25%Draw

42%Viking FK

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for SK Brann vs Viking FK is Viking FK to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction: Viking FK to win
Chance: 42%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: SK Brann 1.5, Viking FK 1.7
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score: 63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1.242 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Viking FK to win and Over 2.5

29% chanceFair price 3.491 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives SK Brann 33%, the draw 25% and Viking FK 42%. The bookmakers agree and make Viking FK the favourite at 2.20.
2
Recent form
SK Brann took 7 points from their last 5 games and Viking FK took 10 from 5. Viking FK come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
SK Brann won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Viking FK won 6 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
SK Brann score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Viking FK score 2.5 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of SK Brann games and 15 of Viking FK games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, SK Brann won 0 and Viking FK won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Viking FK 3, SK Brann 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Viking FKrecent form+3%

SK Brann form W L L D WViking FK form W W L D WHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SK Brann vs Viking FK: Viking FK shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SK Brann host Viking FK in the Eliteserien on Fri 9 Oct, 17:00 at Brann Stadium. Our prediction for SK Brann vs Viking FK is Viking FK to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

SK Brann form

SK Brann have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Viking FK form

Viking FK have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. SK Brann won 0, Viking FK won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Viking FK 3, SK Brann 2.

Our call

We expect SK Brann to score about 1.5 goals and Viking FK about 1.7. That points to Viking FK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Viking FK to win and Over 2.5 at 3.49.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	SK Brann	Viking FK
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	15
Draws	2	2
Losses	9	3
Goals scored	37	50
Goals conceded	29	20
Scored per game	1.9	2.5
Conceded per game	1.4	1.0
Home record	6W 0D 5L	9W 0D 0L
Away record	3W 2D 4L	6W 2D 3L
Clean sheets	15%	30%
Both teams scored	75%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	80%	75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
SK Brann to win	31%	3.20	2.70	-15.7%
A Draw	24%	4.16	3.80	-8.6%
Viking FK to win	39%	2.54	2.20	-13.5%
Over 3.5 goals	41%	2.43	1.95	-19.6%
Under 3.5 goals	53%	1.90	1.71	-9.9%
SK Brann +0.5	54%	1.85	1.59	-14.2%
Viking FK -0.5	40%	2.52	2.10	-16.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	61%	1.64
Over 3.5 goals	39%	2.58
Both teams to score	63%	1.58
SK Brann or Draw	58%	1.74
Viking FK or Draw	67%	1.49
SK Brann to win and Over 2.5	23%	4.42
Viking FK to win and Over 2.5	30%	3.36
SK Brann clean sheet	18%	5.41
Viking FK clean sheet	23%	4.32

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.2%

1-28.9%

2-17.7%

0-16.6%

2-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SK Brann vs Viking FK?

Our prediction for SK Brann vs Viking FK is Viking FK to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for SK Brann vs Viking FK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect SK Brann to score 1.5 goals and Viking FK 1.7.

Will both teams score in SK Brann vs Viking FK?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of SK Brann last 20 games and 13 of Viking FK last 20.

How are SK Brann playing?

How are Viking FK playing?

What happened when SK Brann and Viking FK last met?

It ended Viking FK 3, SK Brann 2. In the last 2 meetings SK Brann won 0 and Viking FK won 2.

What is the best bet for SK Brann vs Viking FK?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in SK Brann against Viking FK. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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