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Predictions › Austria › SK Sturm Graz vs RB Salzburg
Austrian BundesligaSun 8 Nov, 16:00 Austria time

SK Sturm Graz vs RB Salzburg prediction

Merkur Arena

SK Sturm GrazHome
1.16 : 1.21
expected goals
RB SalzburgAway
34%Sturm Graz
29%Draw
37%RB Salzburg
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for SK Sturm Graz vs RB Salzburg is RB Salzburg to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
RB Salzburg to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
SK Sturm Graz 1.2, RB Salzburg 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.191 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SK Sturm Graz 34%, the draw 29% and RB Salzburg 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    SK Sturm Graz took 10 points from their last 5 games and RB Salzburg took 8 from 5. SK Sturm Graz come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    SK Sturm Graz won 5 of their last 11 games at home. RB Salzburg won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    SK Sturm Graz score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. RB Salzburg score 1.9 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of SK Sturm Graz games and 13 of RB Salzburg games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, SK Sturm Graz won 1 and RB Salzburg won 1 with 3 draws. The last one ended RB Salzburg 3, SK Sturm Graz 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sturm Grazrecent form+3%
Sturm Graz form D W W L WRB Salzburg form D D W L DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SK Sturm Graz vs RB Salzburg: RB Salzburg shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SK Sturm Graz host RB Salzburg in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 at Merkur Arena. Our prediction for SK Sturm Graz vs RB Salzburg is RB Salzburg to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

SK Sturm Graz form

SK Sturm Graz have 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

RB Salzburg form

RB Salzburg have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. SK Sturm Graz won 1, RB Salzburg won 1 and 3 games ended level. Last time out it finished RB Salzburg 3, SK Sturm Graz 0.

Our call

We expect SK Sturm Graz to score about 1.2 goals and RB Salzburg about 1.2. That points to RB Salzburg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.19.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sturm GrazRB Salzburg
Games played2020
Wins810
Draws95
Losses35
Goals scored2938
Goals conceded2123
Scored per game1.41.9
Conceded per game1.11.1
Home record5W 6D 0L6W 1D 3L
Away record3W 3D 3L4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals35%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.44
Over 2.5 goals42%2.36
Over 3.5 goals22%4.64
Both teams to score49%2.04
SK Sturm Graz or Draw63%1.58
RB Salzburg or Draw66%1.51
SK Sturm Graz to win and Over 2.518%5.66
RB Salzburg to win and Over 2.519%5.20
SK Sturm Graz clean sheet30%3.37
RB Salzburg clean sheet31%3.19

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%
0-110.5%
0-010.1%
1-010.0%
1-28.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SK Sturm Graz vs RB Salzburg?

Our prediction for SK Sturm Graz vs RB Salzburg is RB Salzburg to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for SK Sturm Graz vs RB Salzburg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect SK Sturm Graz to score 1.2 goals and RB Salzburg 1.2.

Will both teams score in SK Sturm Graz vs RB Salzburg?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of SK Sturm Graz last 20 games and 12 of RB Salzburg last 20.

How are SK Sturm Graz playing?

SK Sturm Graz have 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are RB Salzburg playing?

RB Salzburg have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when SK Sturm Graz and RB Salzburg last met?

It ended RB Salzburg 3, SK Sturm Graz 0. In the last 5 meetings SK Sturm Graz won 1 and RB Salzburg won 1.

What is the best bet for SK Sturm Graz vs RB Salzburg?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sturm Graz against RB Salzburg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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