Predictions › Champions League › Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart

Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart prediction

Národny Futbalovy Stadión

Slovan BratislavaHome

1.14 : 2.53

expected goals

VfB StuttgartAway

15%S Bratislava

18%Draw

67%Stuttgart

Eagle safe pickVfB Stuttgart or Draw

1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart is VfB Stuttgart to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is VfB Stuttgart or Draw at 1.21.

Prediction: VfB Stuttgart to win
Chance: 67%
Most likely score: 1-2
Expected goals: Slovan Bratislava 1.1, VfB Stuttgart 2.5
Best bet: VfB Stuttgart or Draw at 1.21
Both teams to score: 63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

VfB Stuttgart or Draw

83% chanceFair price 1.212 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

VfB Stuttgart to win and both score

36% chanceFair price 2.771 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Slovan Bratislava 15%, the draw 18% and VfB Stuttgart 67%. The bookmakers agree and make VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 1.30.
2
Recent form
Slovan Bratislava took 6 points from their last 5 games and VfB Stuttgart took 6 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Slovan Bratislava won 2 of their last 3 games at home. VfB Stuttgart won 1 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Slovan Bratislava score 0.9 goals a game and let in 2.1. VfB Stuttgart score 2.0 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Slovan Bratislava games and 14 of VfB Stuttgart games in that run.
5
The safest bet
VfB Stuttgart or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

S Bratislavarecent form+3%
Stuttgartrecent form-1%
S Bratislavarest between games-3%

S Bratislava form L W D W WStuttgart form L L W W LHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Slovan Bratislava host VfB Stuttgart in the Champions League on Wed 14 Oct, 19:00 at Národny Futbalovy Stadión. Our prediction for Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart is VfB Stuttgart to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is VfB Stuttgart or Draw at 1.21.

Slovan Bratislava form

Slovan Bratislava have 2 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 7 games, with 6 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

VfB Stuttgart form

VfB Stuttgart have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Slovan Bratislava to score about 1.1 goals and VfB Stuttgart about 2.5. That points to VfB Stuttgart to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is VfB Stuttgart or Draw at 1.21. Our bold bet is VfB Stuttgart to win and both score at 2.77.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	S Bratislava	Stuttgart
Games played	7	20
Wins	2	7
Draws	0	5
Losses	5	8
Goals scored	6	40
Goals conceded	15	35
Scored per game	0.9	2.0
Conceded per game	2.1	1.8
Home record	2W 0D 1L	6W 1D 4L
Away record	0W 0D 4L	1W 4D 4L
Clean sheets	14%	15%
Both teams scored	57%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	57%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Slovan Bratislava to win	14%	7.09	8.00	+12.8%
A Draw	17%	5.75	5.75	+0.1%
VfB Stuttgart to win	68%	1.46	1.30	-10.9%
Over 3.5 goals	47%	2.13	1.87	-12.2%
Under 3.5 goals	48%	2.10	1.83	-12.6%
Slovan Bratislava +1.5	47%	2.14	1.91	-10.9%
VfB Stuttgart -1.5	48%	2.08	1.71	-17.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	89%	1.13
Over 2.5 goals	71%	1.41
Over 3.5 goals	50%	2.01
Both teams to score	63%	1.59
Slovan Bratislava or Draw	33%	3.03
VfB Stuttgart or Draw	85%	1.17
Slovan Bratislava to win and Over 2.5	11%	9.33
VfB Stuttgart to win and Over 2.5	53%	1.89
Slovan Bratislava clean sheet	8%	12.49
VfB Stuttgart clean sheet	32%	3.13

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.3%

0-28.2%

1-37.8%

1-17.8%

0-36.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?

Our prediction for Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart is VfB Stuttgart to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is VfB Stuttgart or Draw at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-3. We expect Slovan Bratislava to score 1.1 goals and VfB Stuttgart 2.5.

Will both teams score in Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of Slovan Bratislava last 7 games and 13 of VfB Stuttgart last 20.

How are Slovan Bratislava playing?

How are VfB Stuttgart playing?

What is the best bet for Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?

VfB Stuttgart or Draw at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in S Bratislava against Stuttgart. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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