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Predictions › United States › SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 12:00 United States time

SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange prediction

JMA Wireless Dome

SMU MustangsAway
27.0 : 28.0
projected points
Syracuse OrangeHome
50%SMU
50%Syracuse
Eagle safe pickSMU +11.5
-302

Quick answer

Our prediction for SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange is SMU Mustangs to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project SMU Mustangs 27.0 and Syracuse Orange 28.0. Our best bet is SMU +11.5 at -302.

Prediction
SMU Mustangs to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
SMU Mustangs 27, Syracuse Orange 28
Projected total
55.0 points
Best bet
SMU +11.5 at -302

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

SMU +11.5
75% chanceFair price -3022 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Syracuse Orange 50% and SMU Mustangs 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Syracuse Orange won 1 of their last 5 and SMU Mustangs won 4 of their last 5. SMU Mustangs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Syracuse Orange won 2 of their last 8 games at home. SMU Mustangs won 4 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Syracuse Orange score 23.7 points a game and let in 31.8. SMU Mustangs score 31.1 and let in 19.6. Their recent games average 55.4 and 50.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Syracuse Orange won 0 and SMU Mustangs won 1. The last one ended SMU Mustangs 31, Syracuse Orange 18.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    SMU +11.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange: SMU Mustangs shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Syracuse Orange host SMU Mustangs in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 at JMA Wireless Dome. Our prediction for SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange is SMU Mustangs to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project SMU Mustangs 27.0 and Syracuse Orange 28.0. Our best bet is SMU +11.5 at -302.

Syracuse Orange form

Syracuse Orange have 4 wins and 12 losses in their last 16 games, with 379 points scored and 508 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

SMU Mustangs form

SMU Mustangs have 13 wins and 4 losses in their last 17 games, with 528 points scored and 334 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Syracuse Orange won 0, SMU Mustangs won 1. Last time out it finished SMU Mustangs 31, Syracuse Orange 18.

Our call

We expect SMU Mustangs to score about 27.0 points and Syracuse Orange about 28.0. That points to SMU Mustangs to win. Our safest bet is SMU +11.5 at -302.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

SyracuseSMU
Games played1617
Wins413
Losses124
Points scored379528
Points conceded508334
Scored per game23.731.1
Conceded per game31.819.6
Home record2W 6L9W 0L
Away record2W 6L4W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Syracuse spreadCoversFair
Syracuse -8.532%+212
Syracuse -4.541%+141
Syracuse -1.549%+105
Syracuse +1.556%-129
Syracuse +5.566%-193
Total pointsOverUnder
48.566%34%
52.556%44%
55.549%51%
58.541%59%
62.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Syracuse +3.5 wins if Syracuse win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange?

Our prediction for SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange is SMU Mustangs to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project SMU Mustangs 27.0 and Syracuse Orange 28.0. Our best bet is SMU +11.5 at -302.

What is the projected score for SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange?

We project SMU Mustangs 27.0 and Syracuse Orange 28.0, about 55.0 points in total.

How are Syracuse Orange playing?

Syracuse Orange have 4 wins and 12 losses in their last 16 games, with 379 points scored and 508 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are SMU Mustangs playing?

SMU Mustangs have 13 wins and 4 losses in their last 17 games, with 528 points scored and 334 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Syracuse Orange and SMU Mustangs last met?

It ended SMU Mustangs 31, Syracuse Orange 18. In the last 1 meeting Syracuse Orange won 0 and SMU Mustangs won 1.

What is the best bet for SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange?

SMU +11.5 at -302, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Syracuse against SMU. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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