Predictions › France › Sochaux vs Annecy
Ligue 2Fri 23 Oct, 18:00 France time

Sochaux vs Annecy prediction

Stade Bonal

SochauxHome
1.10 : 1.21
expected goals
AnnecyAway
32%Sochaux
30%Draw
38%Annecy
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sochaux vs Annecy is Annecy to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Annecy to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sochaux 1.1, Annecy 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.141 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sochaux 32%, the draw 30% and Annecy 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sochaux took 7 points from their last 5 games and Annecy took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sochaux won 2 of their last 4 games at home. Annecy won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sochaux score 0.6 goals a game and let in 0.8. Annecy score 1.6 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Sochaux games and 13 of Annecy games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sochauxrecent form+1%
  • Annecyrecent form-1%
Sochaux form D D W D DAnnecy form D L L W DHome edge in this league 11% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sochaux vs Annecy: Annecy shade it

The big picture

Sochaux host Annecy in the Ligue 2 on Fri 23 Oct, 18:00 at Stade Bonal. Our prediction for Sochaux vs Annecy is Annecy to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Sochaux form

Sochaux have 2 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 8 games, with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, D, newest first.

Annecy form

Annecy have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sochaux to score about 1.1 goals and Annecy about 1.2. That points to Annecy to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.14.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SochauxAnnecy
Games played820
Wins210
Draws53
Losses17
Goals scored531
Goals conceded626
Scored per game0.61.6
Conceded per game0.81.3
Home record2W 1D 1L4W 2D 3L
Away record0W 4D 0L6W 1D 4L
Clean sheets50%30%
Both teams scored38%60%
Over 2.5 goals13%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.47
Over 2.5 goals41%2.46
Over 3.5 goals20%4.95
Both teams to score48%2.10
Sochaux or Draw62%1.61
Annecy or Draw68%1.48
Sochaux to win and Over 2.516%6.15
Annecy to win and Over 2.519%5.20
Sochaux clean sheet30%3.34
Annecy clean sheet33%3.00

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
0-111.2%
0-010.7%
1-010.2%
1-28.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sochaux vs Annecy?

Our prediction for Sochaux vs Annecy is Annecy to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Sochaux vs Annecy?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Sochaux to score 1.1 goals and Annecy 1.2.

Will both teams score in Sochaux vs Annecy?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 3 of Sochaux last 8 games and 12 of Annecy last 20.

How are Sochaux playing?

Sochaux have 2 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 8 games, with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Annecy playing?

Annecy have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sochaux vs Annecy?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sochaux against Annecy. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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