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Predictions › France › Sochaux vs Boulogne
Ligue 2Fri 9 Oct, 18:00 France time

Sochaux vs Boulogne prediction

Stade Bonal

SochauxHome
1.23 : 1.00
expected goals
BoulogneAway
40%Sochaux
30%Draw
29%Boulogne
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sochaux vs Boulogne is Sochaux to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
Sochaux to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sochaux 1.2, Boulogne 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.131 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sochaux 40%, the draw 30% and Boulogne 29%. The bookmakers agree and make Sochaux the favourite at 2.20.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sochaux took 9 points from their last 5 games and Boulogne took 4 from 5. Sochaux come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sochaux won 2 of their last 3 games at home. Boulogne won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sochaux score 0.6 goals a game and let in 0.7. Boulogne score 0.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Sochaux games and 7 of Boulogne games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sochauxrecent form+3%
  • Boulognerecent form-1%
Sochaux form D W D D WBoulogne form L D D D DHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sochaux vs Boulogne: Sochaux shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sochaux host Boulogne in the Ligue 2 on Fri 9 Oct, 18:00 at Stade Bonal. Our prediction for Sochaux vs Boulogne is Sochaux to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Sochaux form

Sochaux have 2 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 7 games, with 4 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, W, newest first.

Boulogne form

Boulogne have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sochaux to score about 1.2 goals and Boulogne about 1.0. That points to Sochaux to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.13.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SochauxBoulogne
Games played720
Wins23
Draws49
Losses18
Goals scored415
Goals conceded523
Scored per game0.60.8
Conceded per game0.71.1
Home record2W 0D 1L1W 5D 5L
Away record0W 4D 0L2W 4D 3L
Clean sheets57%40%
Both teams scored29%45%
Over 2.5 goals14%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Sochaux to win37%2.672.20-17.7%
A Draw29%3.443.20-6.9%
Boulogne to win28%3.543.20-9.6%
Over 2.5 goals38%2.622.15-17.9%
Under 2.5 goals56%1.801.59-11.7%
Sochaux -0.539%2.562.10-17.8%
Boulogne +0.555%1.831.59-13.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals66%1.51
Over 2.5 goals39%2.59
Over 3.5 goals19%5.35
Both teams to score46%2.19
Sochaux or Draw71%1.42
Boulogne or Draw60%1.68
Sochaux to win and Over 2.520%5.01
Boulogne to win and Over 2.514%7.18
Sochaux clean sheet37%2.73
Boulogne clean sheet29%3.41

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
1-012.4%
0-011.5%
0-110.0%
2-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sochaux vs Boulogne?

Our prediction for Sochaux vs Boulogne is Sochaux to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Sochaux vs Boulogne?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Sochaux to score 1.2 goals and Boulogne 1.0.

Will both teams score in Sochaux vs Boulogne?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Sochaux last 7 games and 9 of Boulogne last 20.

How are Sochaux playing?

Sochaux have 2 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 7 games, with 4 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, W, newest first.

How are Boulogne playing?

Boulogne have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sochaux vs Boulogne?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sochaux against Boulogne. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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