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Predictions › United States › South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves
College FootballThu 8 Oct, 19:30 United States time

South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves prediction

Centennial Bank Stadium

South Alabama JaguarsAway
22.0 : 32.5
projected points
Arkansas State Red WolvesHome
25%South Alabama
75%Arkansas St
Eagle safe pickArkansas St to win
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves is Arkansas State Red Wolves to win, with a 75% chance. We project South Alabama Jaguars 22.0 and Arkansas State Red Wolves 32.5. Our best bet is Arkansas St to win at -304.

Prediction
Arkansas State Red Wolves to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
South Alabama Jaguars 22, Arkansas State Red Wolves 32
Projected total
54.5 points
Best bet
Arkansas St to win at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Arkansas St to win
75% chanceFair price -3042 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Arkansas State Red Wolves 75% and South Alabama Jaguars 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Arkansas State Red Wolves won 3 of their last 5 and South Alabama Jaguars won 2 of their last 5. Arkansas State Red Wolves come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Arkansas State Red Wolves won 5 of their last 8 games at home. South Alabama Jaguars won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Arkansas State Red Wolves score 24.7 points a game and let in 24.7. South Alabama Jaguars score 26.7 and let in 31.0. Their recent games average 49.4 and 57.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Arkansas State Red Wolves won 1 and South Alabama Jaguars won 0. The last one ended South Alabama Jaguars 14, Arkansas State Red Wolves 15.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Arkansas St to win has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Arkansas Strest between games-2%
  • South Alabamarest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves: Arkansas State Red Wolves are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Arkansas State Red Wolves host South Alabama Jaguars in the College Football on Thu 8 Oct, 19:30 at Centennial Bank Stadium. Our prediction for South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves is Arkansas State Red Wolves to win, with a 75% chance. We project South Alabama Jaguars 22.0 and Arkansas State Red Wolves 32.5. Our best bet is Arkansas St to win at -304.

Arkansas State Red Wolves form

Arkansas State Red Wolves have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 371 points scored and 370 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

South Alabama Jaguars form

South Alabama Jaguars have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 374 points scored and 434 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Arkansas State Red Wolves won 1, South Alabama Jaguars won 0. Last time out it finished South Alabama Jaguars 14, Arkansas State Red Wolves 15.

Our call

We expect South Alabama Jaguars to score about 22.0 points and Arkansas State Red Wolves about 32.5. That points to Arkansas State Red Wolves to win. Our safest bet is Arkansas St to win at -304.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

Arkansas StSouth Alabama
Games played1514
Wins85
Losses79
Points scored371374
Points conceded370434
Scored per game24.726.7
Conceded per game24.731.0
Home record5W 3L3W 3L
Away record3W 4L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Arkansas St spreadCoversFair
Arkansas St -17.533%+203
Arkansas St -13.542%+135
Arkansas St -10.550%+100
Arkansas St -7.557%-134
Arkansas St -3.567%-201
Total pointsOverUnder
47.567%33%
51.557%43%
54.550%50%
57.543%57%
61.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Arkansas St +3.5 wins if Arkansas St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?

Our prediction for South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves is Arkansas State Red Wolves to win, with a 75% chance. We project South Alabama Jaguars 22.0 and Arkansas State Red Wolves 32.5. Our best bet is Arkansas St to win at -304.

What is the projected score for South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?

We project South Alabama Jaguars 22.0 and Arkansas State Red Wolves 32.5, about 54.5 points in total.

How are Arkansas State Red Wolves playing?

Arkansas State Red Wolves have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 371 points scored and 370 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are South Alabama Jaguars playing?

South Alabama Jaguars have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 374 points scored and 434 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Arkansas State Red Wolves and South Alabama Jaguars last met?

It ended South Alabama Jaguars 14, Arkansas State Red Wolves 15. In the last 1 meeting Arkansas State Red Wolves won 1 and South Alabama Jaguars won 0.

What is the best bet for South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?

Arkansas St to win at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Arkansas St against South Alabama. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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