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Predictions › United States › South Alabama Jaguars vs Marshall Thundering Herd
College FootballTue 20 Oct, 19:30 United States time

South Alabama Jaguars vs Marshall Thundering Herd prediction

Joan C. Edwards Stadium

South Alabama JaguarsAway
31.0 : 33.6
projected points
Marshall Thundering HerdHome
48%South Alabama
52%Marshall
Eagle safe pickMarshall +7.5
-294

Quick answer

Our prediction for South Alabama Jaguars vs Marshall Thundering Herd is Marshall Thundering Herd to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project South Alabama Jaguars 31.0 and Marshall Thundering Herd 33.6. Our best bet is Marshall +7.5 at -294.

Prediction
Marshall Thundering Herd to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
South Alabama Jaguars 31, Marshall Thundering Herd 34
Projected total
64.6 points
Best bet
Marshall +7.5 at -294

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Marshall +7.5
75% chanceFair price -2941 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

South Alabama to win
41% chanceFair price +1421 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Marshall Thundering Herd 52% and South Alabama Jaguars 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Marshall Thundering Herd won 3 of their last 5 and South Alabama Jaguars won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Marshall Thundering Herd won 5 of their last 8 games at home. South Alabama Jaguars won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Marshall Thundering Herd score 29.6 points a game and let in 31.2. South Alabama Jaguars score 30.1 and let in 32.4. Their recent games average 60.8 and 62.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Marshall +7.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Marshallrest between games-5%
  • South Alabamarest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

South Alabama Jaguars vs Marshall Thundering Herd: Marshall Thundering Herd shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Marshall Thundering Herd host South Alabama Jaguars in the College Football on Tue 20 Oct, 19:30 at Joan C. Edwards Stadium. Our prediction for South Alabama Jaguars vs Marshall Thundering Herd is Marshall Thundering Herd to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project South Alabama Jaguars 31.0 and Marshall Thundering Herd 33.6. Our best bet is Marshall +7.5 at -294.

Marshall Thundering Herd form

Marshall Thundering Herd have 8 wins and 8 losses in their last 16 games, with 474 points scored and 499 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

South Alabama Jaguars form

South Alabama Jaguars have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 482 points scored and 518 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect South Alabama Jaguars to score about 31.0 points and Marshall Thundering Herd about 33.6. That points to Marshall Thundering Herd to win. Our safest bet is Marshall +7.5 at -294. Our bold bet is South Alabama to win at +142.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

MarshallSouth Alabama
Games played1616
Wins87
Losses89
Points scored474482
Points conceded499518
Scored per game29.630.1
Conceded per game31.232.4
Home record5W 3L4W 3L
Away record3W 5L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Marshall spreadCoversFair
Marshall -9.533%+200
Marshall -5.543%+133
Marshall -2.550%-101
Marshall +0.558%-137
Marshall +4.567%-205
Total pointsOverUnder
57.567%33%
61.558%42%
64.550%50%
67.543%57%
71.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Marshall +3.5 wins if Marshall win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win South Alabama Jaguars vs Marshall Thundering Herd?

Our prediction for South Alabama Jaguars vs Marshall Thundering Herd is Marshall Thundering Herd to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project South Alabama Jaguars 31.0 and Marshall Thundering Herd 33.6. Our best bet is Marshall +7.5 at -294.

What is the projected score for South Alabama Jaguars vs Marshall Thundering Herd?

We project South Alabama Jaguars 31.0 and Marshall Thundering Herd 33.6, about 64.6 points in total.

How are Marshall Thundering Herd playing?

Marshall Thundering Herd have 8 wins and 8 losses in their last 16 games, with 474 points scored and 499 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are South Alabama Jaguars playing?

South Alabama Jaguars have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 482 points scored and 518 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for South Alabama Jaguars vs Marshall Thundering Herd?

Marshall +7.5 at -294, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Marshall against South Alabama. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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