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Predictions › United States › South Alabama Jaguars vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 16:00 United States time

South Alabama Jaguars vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles prediction

M. M. Roberts Stadium

South Alabama JaguarsAway
32.5 : 29.6
projected points
Southern Miss Golden EaglesHome
59%South Alabama
41%Southern Miss
Eagle safe pickUnder 72.5 points
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for South Alabama Jaguars vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles is South Alabama Jaguars to win, with a 59% chance. We project South Alabama Jaguars 32.5 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 29.6. Our best bet is Under 72.5 points at -303.

Prediction
South Alabama Jaguars to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
South Alabama Jaguars 32, Southern Miss Golden Eagles 30
Projected total
62.1 points
Best bet
Under 72.5 points at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 72.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Southern Miss to win
41% chanceFair price +1431 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Southern Miss Golden Eagles 41% and South Alabama Jaguars 59%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 2 of their last 5 and South Alabama Jaguars won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 5 of their last 11 games at home. South Alabama Jaguars won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Southern Miss Golden Eagles score 27.9 points a game and let in 30.2. South Alabama Jaguars score 28.5 and let in 31.6. Their recent games average 58.0 and 60.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 0 and South Alabama Jaguars won 1. The last one ended South Alabama Jaguars 42, Southern Miss Golden Eagles 35.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 72.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

South Alabama Jaguars vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles: South Alabama Jaguars are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Southern Miss Golden Eagles host South Alabama Jaguars in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 16:00 at M. M. Roberts Stadium. Our prediction for South Alabama Jaguars vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles is South Alabama Jaguars to win, with a 59% chance. We project South Alabama Jaguars 32.5 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 29.6. Our best bet is Under 72.5 points at -303.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles form

Southern Miss Golden Eagles have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 557 points scored and 604 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

South Alabama Jaguars form

South Alabama Jaguars have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 541 points scored and 601 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 0, South Alabama Jaguars won 1. Last time out it finished South Alabama Jaguars 42, Southern Miss Golden Eagles 35.

Our call

We expect South Alabama Jaguars to score about 32.5 points and Southern Miss Golden Eagles about 29.6. That points to South Alabama Jaguars to win. Our safest bet is Under 72.5 points at -303. Our bold bet is Southern Miss to win at +143.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Southern MissSouth Alabama
Games played2019
Wins97
Losses1112
Points scored557541
Points conceded604601
Scored per game27.928.5
Conceded per game30.231.6
Home record5W 6L4W 4L
Away record4W 5L3W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Southern Miss spreadCoversFair
Southern Miss -4.532%+209
Southern Miss -0.542%+139
Southern Miss +2.549%+103
Southern Miss +5.557%-131
Southern Miss +9.566%-196
Total pointsOverUnder
55.566%34%
59.556%44%
62.549%51%
65.542%58%
69.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Southern Miss +3.5 wins if Southern Miss win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win South Alabama Jaguars vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles?

Our prediction for South Alabama Jaguars vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles is South Alabama Jaguars to win, with a 59% chance. We project South Alabama Jaguars 32.5 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 29.6. Our best bet is Under 72.5 points at -303.

What is the projected score for South Alabama Jaguars vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles?

We project South Alabama Jaguars 32.5 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 29.6, about 62.1 points in total.

How are Southern Miss Golden Eagles playing?

Southern Miss Golden Eagles have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 557 points scored and 604 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are South Alabama Jaguars playing?

South Alabama Jaguars have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 541 points scored and 601 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Southern Miss Golden Eagles and South Alabama Jaguars last met?

It ended South Alabama Jaguars 42, Southern Miss Golden Eagles 35. In the last 1 meeting Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 0 and South Alabama Jaguars won 1.

What is the best bet for South Alabama Jaguars vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles?

Under 72.5 points at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Southern Miss against South Alabama. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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