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Predictions › United States › South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates
College FootballFri 6 Nov, 19:30 United States time

South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates prediction

Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium

South Florida BullsAway
23.1 : 28.3
projected points
East Carolina PiratesHome
41%South Florida
59%East Carolina
Eagle safe pickSouth Florida +15.5
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates is East Carolina Pirates to win, with a 59% chance. We project South Florida Bulls 23.1 and East Carolina Pirates 28.3. Our best bet is South Florida +15.5 at -305.

Prediction
East Carolina Pirates to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
South Florida Bulls 23, East Carolina Pirates 28
Projected total
51.4 points
Best bet
South Florida +15.5 at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

South Florida +15.5
75% chanceFair price -3052 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

South Florida to win
37% chanceFair price +1741 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives East Carolina Pirates 59% and South Florida Bulls 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    East Carolina Pirates won 3 of their last 5 and South Florida Bulls won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    East Carolina Pirates won 7 of their last 9 games at home. South Florida Bulls won 4 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    East Carolina Pirates score 29.3 points a game and let in 23.2. South Florida Bulls score 36.7 and let in 21.5. Their recent games average 52.5 and 58.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    South Florida +15.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates: East Carolina Pirates are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

East Carolina Pirates host South Florida Bulls in the College Football on Fri 6 Nov, 19:30 at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium. Our prediction for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates is East Carolina Pirates to win, with a 59% chance. We project South Florida Bulls 23.1 and East Carolina Pirates 28.3. Our best bet is South Florida +15.5 at -305.

East Carolina Pirates form

East Carolina Pirates have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 527 points scored and 418 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

South Florida Bulls form

South Florida Bulls have 12 wins and 6 losses in their last 18 games, with 660 points scored and 387 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect South Florida Bulls to score about 23.1 points and East Carolina Pirates about 28.3. That points to East Carolina Pirates to win. Our safest bet is South Florida +15.5 at -305. Our bold bet is South Florida to win at +174.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

East CarolinaSouth Florida
Games played1818
Wins1112
Losses76
Points scored527660
Points conceded418387
Scored per game29.336.7
Conceded per game23.221.5
Home record7W 2L8W 2L
Away record4W 5L4W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

East Carolina spreadCoversFair
East Carolina -12.532%+209
East Carolina -8.542%+140
East Carolina -5.549%+103
East Carolina -2.557%-130
East Carolina +1.566%-195
Total pointsOverUnder
44.567%33%
48.557%43%
51.550%50%
54.542%58%
58.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. East Carolina +3.5 wins if East Carolina win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

Our prediction for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates is East Carolina Pirates to win, with a 59% chance. We project South Florida Bulls 23.1 and East Carolina Pirates 28.3. Our best bet is South Florida +15.5 at -305.

What is the projected score for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

We project South Florida Bulls 23.1 and East Carolina Pirates 28.3, about 51.4 points in total.

How are East Carolina Pirates playing?

East Carolina Pirates have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 527 points scored and 418 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are South Florida Bulls playing?

South Florida Bulls have 12 wins and 6 losses in their last 18 games, with 660 points scored and 387 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

South Florida +15.5 at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in East Carolina against South Florida. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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