Predictions › United States › South Florida Bulls vs Florida Atlantic Owls
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 14:30 United States time

South Florida Bulls vs Florida Atlantic Owls prediction

Flagler Credit Union Stadium

South Florida BullsAway
29.2 : 33.5
projected points
Florida Atlantic OwlsHome
44%South Florida
56%FAU
Eagle safe pickOver 52.5 points
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for South Florida Bulls vs Florida Atlantic Owls is Florida Atlantic Owls to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project South Florida Bulls 29.2 and Florida Atlantic Owls 33.5. Our best bet is Over 52.5 points at -299.

Prediction
Florida Atlantic Owls to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
South Florida Bulls 29, Florida Atlantic Owls 34
Projected total
62.8 points
Best bet
Over 52.5 points at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 52.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

South Florida to win
38% chanceFair price +1631 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Florida Atlantic Owls 56% and South Florida Bulls 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Florida Atlantic Owls won 3 of their last 5 and South Florida Bulls won 2 of their last 5. Florida Atlantic Owls come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Florida Atlantic Owls won 7 of their last 10 games at home. South Florida Bulls won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Florida Atlantic Owls score 34.4 points a game and let in 36.7. South Florida Bulls score 35.4 and let in 20.9. Their recent games average 71.1 and 56.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Florida Atlantic Owls won 0 and South Florida Bulls won 1. The last one ended South Florida Bulls 48, Florida Atlantic Owls 13.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 52.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

South Florida Bulls vs Florida Atlantic Owls: Florida Atlantic Owls shade it

The big picture

Florida Atlantic Owls host South Florida Bulls in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 14:30 at Flagler Credit Union Stadium. Our prediction for South Florida Bulls vs Florida Atlantic Owls is Florida Atlantic Owls to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project South Florida Bulls 29.2 and Florida Atlantic Owls 33.5. Our best bet is Over 52.5 points at -299.

Florida Atlantic Owls form

Florida Atlantic Owls have 9 wins and 10 losses in their last 19 games, with 653 points scored and 698 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

South Florida Bulls form

South Florida Bulls have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 707 points scored and 417 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Florida Atlantic Owls won 0, South Florida Bulls won 1. Last time out it finished South Florida Bulls 48, Florida Atlantic Owls 13.

Our call

We expect South Florida Bulls to score about 29.2 points and Florida Atlantic Owls about 33.5. That points to Florida Atlantic Owls to win. Our safest bet is Over 52.5 points at -299. Our bold bet is South Florida to win at +163.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FAUSouth Florida
Games played1920
Wins913
Losses107
Points scored653707
Points conceded698417
Scored per game34.435.4
Conceded per game36.720.9
Home record7W 3L9W 2L
Away record2W 7L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

FAU spreadCoversFair
FAU -11.533%+206
FAU -7.542%+138
FAU -4.550%+102
FAU -1.557%-132
FAU +2.566%-198
Total pointsOverUnder
55.567%33%
59.558%42%
62.551%49%
65.543%57%
69.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. FAU +3.5 wins if FAU win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win South Florida Bulls vs Florida Atlantic Owls?

Our prediction for South Florida Bulls vs Florida Atlantic Owls is Florida Atlantic Owls to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project South Florida Bulls 29.2 and Florida Atlantic Owls 33.5. Our best bet is Over 52.5 points at -299.

What is the projected score for South Florida Bulls vs Florida Atlantic Owls?

We project South Florida Bulls 29.2 and Florida Atlantic Owls 33.5, about 62.8 points in total.

How are Florida Atlantic Owls playing?

Florida Atlantic Owls have 9 wins and 10 losses in their last 19 games, with 653 points scored and 698 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are South Florida Bulls playing?

South Florida Bulls have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 707 points scored and 417 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Florida Atlantic Owls and South Florida Bulls last met?

It ended South Florida Bulls 48, Florida Atlantic Owls 13. In the last 1 meeting Florida Atlantic Owls won 0 and South Florida Bulls won 1.

What is the best bet for South Florida Bulls vs Florida Atlantic Owls?

Over 52.5 points at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in FAU against South Florida. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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