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Predictions › United States › South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners
College FootballThu 8 Oct, 19:30 United States time

South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners prediction

Alamodome

South Florida BullsAway
28.4 : 36.9
projected points
UTSA RoadrunnersHome
27%South Florida
73%UTSA
Eagle safe pickUnder 75.5 points
-296

Quick answer

Our prediction for South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners is UTSA Roadrunners to win, with a 73% chance. We project South Florida Bulls 28.4 and UTSA Roadrunners 36.9. Our best bet is Under 75.5 points at -296.

Prediction
UTSA Roadrunners to win
Chance
73%
Projected score
South Florida Bulls 28, UTSA Roadrunners 37
Projected total
65.4 points
Best bet
Under 75.5 points at -296

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 75.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2961 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

South Florida to win
28% chanceFair price +2541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UTSA Roadrunners 73% and South Florida Bulls 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UTSA Roadrunners won 4 of their last 5 and South Florida Bulls won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UTSA Roadrunners won 7 of their last 8 games at home. South Florida Bulls won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    UTSA Roadrunners score 36.2 points a game and let in 27.1. South Florida Bulls score 39.6 and let in 22.5. Their recent games average 63.3 and 62.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, UTSA Roadrunners won 0 and South Florida Bulls won 1. The last one ended South Florida Bulls 55, UTSA Roadrunners 23.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 75.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • UTSArest between games-2%
  • South Floridarest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners: UTSA Roadrunners are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

UTSA Roadrunners host South Florida Bulls in the College Football on Thu 8 Oct, 19:30 at Alamodome. Our prediction for South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners is UTSA Roadrunners to win, with a 73% chance. We project South Florida Bulls 28.4 and UTSA Roadrunners 36.9. Our best bet is Under 75.5 points at -296.

UTSA Roadrunners form

UTSA Roadrunners have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 543 points scored and 407 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

South Florida Bulls form

South Florida Bulls have 11 wins and 4 losses in their last 15 games, with 594 points scored and 337 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. UTSA Roadrunners won 0, South Florida Bulls won 1. Last time out it finished South Florida Bulls 55, UTSA Roadrunners 23.

Our call

We expect South Florida Bulls to score about 28.4 points and UTSA Roadrunners about 36.9. That points to UTSA Roadrunners to win. Our safest bet is Under 75.5 points at -296. Our bold bet is South Florida to win at +254.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

UTSASouth Florida
Games played1515
Wins1011
Losses54
Points scored543594
Points conceded407337
Scored per game36.239.6
Conceded per game27.122.5
Home record7W 1L7W 1L
Away record3W 4L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UTSA spreadCoversFair
UTSA -15.533%+202
UTSA -11.543%+135
UTSA -8.550%-100
UTSA -5.557%-135
UTSA -1.567%-202
Total pointsOverUnder
58.567%33%
62.557%43%
65.550%50%
68.542%58%
72.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UTSA +3.5 wins if UTSA win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners?

Our prediction for South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners is UTSA Roadrunners to win, with a 73% chance. We project South Florida Bulls 28.4 and UTSA Roadrunners 36.9. Our best bet is Under 75.5 points at -296.

What is the projected score for South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners?

We project South Florida Bulls 28.4 and UTSA Roadrunners 36.9, about 65.4 points in total.

How are UTSA Roadrunners playing?

UTSA Roadrunners have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 543 points scored and 407 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are South Florida Bulls playing?

South Florida Bulls have 11 wins and 4 losses in their last 15 games, with 594 points scored and 337 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when UTSA Roadrunners and South Florida Bulls last met?

It ended South Florida Bulls 55, UTSA Roadrunners 23. In the last 1 meeting UTSA Roadrunners won 0 and South Florida Bulls won 1.

What is the best bet for South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners?

Under 75.5 points at -296, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UTSA against South Florida. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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