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Predictions › United Kingdom › Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers
ChampionshipSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers prediction

St. Mary's Stadium

SouthamptonHome
1.85 : 0.69
expected goals
Queens Park RangersAway
64%Southampton
23%Draw
13%QPR
Eagle safe pickSouthampton draw no bet
1/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers is Southampton to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Southampton draw no bet at 1/5.

Prediction
Southampton to win
Chance
64%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Southampton 1.9, Queens Park Rangers 0.7
Best bet
Southampton draw no bet at 1/5
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Southampton draw no bet
83% chanceFair price 1/52 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Southampton to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 7/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Southampton 64%, the draw 23% and Queens Park Rangers 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Southampton took 10 points from their last 5 games and Queens Park Rangers took 6 from 5. Southampton come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Southampton won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Queens Park Rangers won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Southampton score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.1. Queens Park Rangers score 1.4 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Southampton games and 11 of Queens Park Rangers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Southampton won 2 and Queens Park Rangers won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Southampton 5, Queens Park Rangers 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Southampton draw no bet has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Southamptonrecent form+3%
  • QPRrecent form+1%
Southampton form D W W L WQPR form D W D D DHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers: Southampton are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Southampton host Queens Park Rangers in the Championship on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at St. Mary's Stadium. Our prediction for Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers is Southampton to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Southampton draw no bet at 1/5.

Southampton form

Southampton have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Queens Park Rangers form

Queens Park Rangers have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Southampton won 2, Queens Park Rangers won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Southampton 5, Queens Park Rangers 0.

Our call

We expect Southampton to score about 1.9 goals and Queens Park Rangers about 0.7. That points to Southampton to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Southampton draw no bet at 1/5. Our bold bet is Southampton to win and Over 2.5 at 7/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SouthamptonQPR
Games played2020
Wins106
Draws68
Losses46
Goals scored3628
Goals conceded2326
Scored per game1.81.4
Conceded per game1.11.3
Home record6W 3D 1L4W 4D 3L
Away record4W 3D 3L2W 4D 3L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored75%65%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%4/11
Over 2.5 goals47%11/10
Over 3.5 goals25%3/1
Both teams to score43%11/8
Southampton or Draw87%1/7
Queens Park Rangers or Draw36%9/5
Southampton to win and Over 2.537%7/4
Queens Park Rangers to win and Over 2.56%16/1
Southampton clean sheet50%Evens
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet16%11/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.0%
2-013.5%
1-110.7%
2-19.3%
0-08.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers?

Our prediction for Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers is Southampton to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Southampton draw no bet at 1/5.

What is the score prediction for Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Southampton to score 1.9 goals and Queens Park Rangers 0.7.

Will both teams score in Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Southampton last 20 games and 13 of Queens Park Rangers last 20.

How are Southampton playing?

Southampton have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Queens Park Rangers playing?

Queens Park Rangers have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Southampton and Queens Park Rangers last met?

It ended Southampton 5, Queens Park Rangers 0. In the last 2 meetings Southampton won 2 and Queens Park Rangers won 0.

What is the best bet for Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers?

Southampton draw no bet at 1/5, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Southampton against QPR. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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