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Predictions › United States › Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Troy Trojans
College FootballTue 6 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Troy Trojans prediction

Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)

Southern Miss Golden EaglesAway
21.3 : 28.6
projected points
Troy TrojansHome
31%Southern Miss
69%Troy
Eagle safe pickOver 39.5 points
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Troy Trojans is Troy Trojans to win, with a 69% chance. We project Southern Miss Golden Eagles 21.3 and Troy Trojans 28.6. Our best bet is Over 39.5 points at -299.

Prediction
Troy Trojans to win
Chance
69%
Projected score
Southern Miss Golden Eagles 21, Troy Trojans 29
Projected total
49.9 points
Best bet
Over 39.5 points at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 39.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Southern Miss to win
30% chanceFair price +2301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Troy Trojans 69% and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Troy Trojans won 2 of their last 5 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 1 of their last 5. Troy Trojans come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Troy Trojans won 5 of their last 7 games at home. Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 3 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Troy Trojans score 22.5 points a game and let in 23.4. Southern Miss Golden Eagles score 27.8 and let in 28.0. Their recent games average 45.9 and 55.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Troy Trojans won 1 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 0. The last one ended Southern Miss Golden Eagles 18, Troy Trojans 28.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 39.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Troyrest between games-5%
  • Southern Missrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Troy Trojans: Troy Trojans are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Troy Trojans host Southern Miss Golden Eagles in the College Football on Tue 6 Oct, 20:00 at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL). Our prediction for Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Troy Trojans is Troy Trojans to win, with a 69% chance. We project Southern Miss Golden Eagles 21.3 and Troy Trojans 28.6. Our best bet is Over 39.5 points at -299.

Troy Trojans form

Troy Trojans have 9 wins and 7 losses in their last 16 games, with 360 points scored and 374 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles form

Southern Miss Golden Eagles have 7 wins and 8 losses in their last 15 games, with 417 points scored and 420 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Troy Trojans won 1, Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 0. Last time out it finished Southern Miss Golden Eagles 18, Troy Trojans 28.

Our call

We expect Southern Miss Golden Eagles to score about 21.3 points and Troy Trojans about 28.6. That points to Troy Trojans to win. Our safest bet is Over 39.5 points at -299. Our bold bet is Southern Miss to win at +230.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

TroySouthern Miss
Games played1615
Wins97
Losses78
Points scored360417
Points conceded374420
Scored per game22.527.8
Conceded per game23.428.0
Home record5W 2L4W 4L
Away record4W 5L3W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Troy spreadCoversFair
Troy -14.533%+205
Troy -10.542%+137
Troy -7.550%+101
Troy -4.557%-133
Troy -0.567%-199
Total pointsOverUnder
42.568%32%
46.558%42%
49.551%49%
52.544%56%
56.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Troy +3.5 wins if Troy win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Troy Trojans?

Our prediction for Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Troy Trojans is Troy Trojans to win, with a 69% chance. We project Southern Miss Golden Eagles 21.3 and Troy Trojans 28.6. Our best bet is Over 39.5 points at -299.

What is the projected score for Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Troy Trojans?

We project Southern Miss Golden Eagles 21.3 and Troy Trojans 28.6, about 49.9 points in total.

How are Troy Trojans playing?

Troy Trojans have 9 wins and 7 losses in their last 16 games, with 360 points scored and 374 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Southern Miss Golden Eagles playing?

Southern Miss Golden Eagles have 7 wins and 8 losses in their last 15 games, with 417 points scored and 420 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Troy Trojans and Southern Miss Golden Eagles last met?

It ended Southern Miss Golden Eagles 18, Troy Trojans 28. In the last 1 meeting Troy Trojans won 1 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 0.

What is the best bet for Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Troy Trojans?

Over 39.5 points at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Troy against Southern Miss. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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