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Predictions › United States › Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs UL Monroe Warhawks
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs UL Monroe Warhawks prediction

Malone Stadium

Southern Miss Golden EaglesAway
29.2 : 25.4
projected points
UL Monroe WarhawksHome
59%Southern Miss
41%UL Monroe
Eagle safe pickSouthern Miss +6.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs UL Monroe Warhawks is Southern Miss Golden Eagles to win, with a 59% chance. We project Southern Miss Golden Eagles 29.2 and UL Monroe Warhawks 25.4. Our best bet is Southern Miss +6.5 at -299.

Prediction
Southern Miss Golden Eagles to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Southern Miss Golden Eagles 29, UL Monroe Warhawks 25
Projected total
54.6 points
Best bet
Southern Miss +6.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Southern Miss +6.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

UL Monroe to win
41% chanceFair price +1421 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UL Monroe Warhawks 41% and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 59%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UL Monroe Warhawks won 0 of their last 5 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 0 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UL Monroe Warhawks won 1 of their last 7 games at home. Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    UL Monroe Warhawks score 18.1 points a game and let in 34.8. Southern Miss Golden Eagles score 27.3 and let in 29.3. Their recent games average 52.9 and 56.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, UL Monroe Warhawks won 0 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 1. The last one ended Southern Miss Golden Eagles 49, UL Monroe Warhawks 21.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Southern Miss +6.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs UL Monroe Warhawks: Southern Miss Golden Eagles are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

UL Monroe Warhawks host Southern Miss Golden Eagles in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 at Malone Stadium. Our prediction for Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs UL Monroe Warhawks is Southern Miss Golden Eagles to win, with a 59% chance. We project Southern Miss Golden Eagles 29.2 and UL Monroe Warhawks 25.4. Our best bet is Southern Miss +6.5 at -299.

UL Monroe Warhawks form

UL Monroe Warhawks have 2 wins and 14 losses in their last 16 games, with 290 points scored and 557 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles form

Southern Miss Golden Eagles have 7 wins and 10 losses in their last 17 games, with 464 points scored and 498 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. UL Monroe Warhawks won 0, Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 1. Last time out it finished Southern Miss Golden Eagles 49, UL Monroe Warhawks 21.

Our call

We expect Southern Miss Golden Eagles to score about 29.2 points and UL Monroe Warhawks about 25.4. That points to Southern Miss Golden Eagles to win. Our safest bet is Southern Miss +6.5 at -299. Our bold bet is UL Monroe to win at +142.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

UL MonroeSouthern Miss
Games played1617
Wins27
Losses1410
Points scored290464
Points conceded557498
Scored per game18.127.3
Conceded per game34.829.3
Home record1W 6L4W 5L
Away record1W 8L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UL Monroe spreadCoversFair
UL Monroe -3.532%+208
UL Monroe +0.542%+139
UL Monroe +3.549%+103
UL Monroe +6.557%-131
UL Monroe +10.566%-197
Total pointsOverUnder
47.567%33%
51.558%42%
54.550%50%
57.543%57%
61.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UL Monroe +3.5 wins if UL Monroe win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs UL Monroe Warhawks?

Our prediction for Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs UL Monroe Warhawks is Southern Miss Golden Eagles to win, with a 59% chance. We project Southern Miss Golden Eagles 29.2 and UL Monroe Warhawks 25.4. Our best bet is Southern Miss +6.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs UL Monroe Warhawks?

We project Southern Miss Golden Eagles 29.2 and UL Monroe Warhawks 25.4, about 54.6 points in total.

How are UL Monroe Warhawks playing?

UL Monroe Warhawks have 2 wins and 14 losses in their last 16 games, with 290 points scored and 557 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Southern Miss Golden Eagles playing?

Southern Miss Golden Eagles have 7 wins and 10 losses in their last 17 games, with 464 points scored and 498 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when UL Monroe Warhawks and Southern Miss Golden Eagles last met?

It ended Southern Miss Golden Eagles 49, UL Monroe Warhawks 21. In the last 1 meeting UL Monroe Warhawks won 0 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 1.

What is the best bet for Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs UL Monroe Warhawks?

Southern Miss +6.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UL Monroe against Southern Miss. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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