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Predictions › Peru › Sport Boys vs Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1Sun 11 Oct, 20:30 Peru time

Sport Boys vs Alianza Atlético prediction

Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao

Sport BoysHome
1.49 : 0.80
expected goals
Alianza AtléticoAway
53%Sport Boys
28%Draw
19%Alianza Atl
Eagle safe pickSport Boys or Draw
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sport Boys vs Alianza Atlético is Sport Boys to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Sport Boys or Draw at 1.28.

Prediction
Sport Boys to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Sport Boys 1.5, Alianza Atlético 0.8
Best bet
Sport Boys or Draw at 1.28
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sport Boys or Draw
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sport Boys to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sport Boys 53%, the draw 28% and Alianza Atlético 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sport Boys took 10 points from their last 5 games and Alianza Atlético took 12 from 5. Alianza Atlético come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sport Boys won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Alianza Atlético won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sport Boys score 1.3 goals a game and let in 0.8. Alianza Atlético score 1.7 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Sport Boys games and 13 of Alianza Atlético games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sport Boys won 1 and Alianza Atlético won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Alianza Atlético 0, Sport Boys 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Sport Boys or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sport Boysrecent form+3%
  • Alianza Atlrecent form+4%
Sport Boys form D W L W WAlianza Atl form W L W W WHome edge in this league 45% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sport Boys vs Alianza Atlético: Sport Boys are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sport Boys host Alianza Atlético in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sun 11 Oct, 20:30 at Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao. Our prediction for Sport Boys vs Alianza Atlético is Sport Boys to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Sport Boys or Draw at 1.28.

Sport Boys form

Sport Boys have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Alianza Atlético form

Alianza Atlético have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sport Boys won 1, Alianza Atlético won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Alianza Atlético 0, Sport Boys 1.

Our call

We expect Sport Boys to score about 1.5 goals and Alianza Atlético about 0.8. That points to Sport Boys to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sport Boys or Draw at 1.28. Our bold bet is Sport Boys to win and Over 2.5 at 3.75.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sport BoysAlianza Atl
Games played2020
Wins99
Draws64
Losses57
Goals scored2634
Goals conceded1730
Scored per game1.31.7
Conceded per game0.81.5
Home record7W 3D 1L6W 2D 1L
Away record2W 3D 4L3W 2D 6L
Clean sheets50%10%
Both teams scored45%80%
Over 2.5 goals30%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals67%1.48
Over 2.5 goals40%2.49
Over 3.5 goals20%5.01
Both teams to score43%2.30
Sport Boys or Draw81%1.24
Alianza Atlético or Draw47%2.12
Sport Boys to win and Over 2.527%3.66
Alianza Atlético to win and Over 2.59%11.38
Sport Boys clean sheet45%2.23
Alianza Atlético clean sheet22%4.45

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.3%
1-112.8%
2-011.3%
0-010.8%
2-19.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sport Boys vs Alianza Atlético?

Our prediction for Sport Boys vs Alianza Atlético is Sport Boys to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Sport Boys or Draw at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Sport Boys vs Alianza Atlético?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Sport Boys to score 1.5 goals and Alianza Atlético 0.8.

Will both teams score in Sport Boys vs Alianza Atlético?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Sport Boys last 20 games and 16 of Alianza Atlético last 20.

How are Sport Boys playing?

Sport Boys have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Alianza Atlético playing?

Alianza Atlético have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Sport Boys and Alianza Atlético last met?

It ended Alianza Atlético 0, Sport Boys 1. In the last 2 meetings Sport Boys won 1 and Alianza Atlético won 1.

What is the best bet for Sport Boys vs Alianza Atlético?

Sport Boys or Draw at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sport Boys against Alianza Atl. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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