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Predictions › Peru › Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1Sun 25 Oct, 20:30 Peru time

Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca prediction

Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao

Sport BoysHome
1.35 : 0.98
expected goals
FC CajamarcaAway
44%Sport Boys
29%Draw
26%Cajamarca
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca is Sport Boys to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Sport Boys to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sport Boys 1.4, FC Cajamarca 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.331 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sport Boys 44%, the draw 29% and FC Cajamarca 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sport Boys took 7 points from their last 5 games and FC Cajamarca took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sport Boys won 6 of their last 11 games at home. FC Cajamarca won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sport Boys score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.0. FC Cajamarca score 1.6 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Sport Boys games and 14 of FC Cajamarca games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Sport Boys won 0 and FC Cajamarca won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended FC Cajamarca 3, Sport Boys 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sport Boysrecent form+1%
Sport Boys form D D W L WCajamarca form D L W L WHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca: Sport Boys shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sport Boys host FC Cajamarca in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sun 25 Oct, 20:30 at Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao. Our prediction for Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca is Sport Boys to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Sport Boys form

Sport Boys have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

FC Cajamarca form

FC Cajamarca have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Sport Boys won 0, FC Cajamarca won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished FC Cajamarca 3, Sport Boys 2.

Our call

We expect Sport Boys to score about 1.4 goals and FC Cajamarca about 1.0. That points to Sport Boys to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.33.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sport BoysCajamarca
Games played2020
Wins86
Draws65
Losses69
Goals scored2431
Goals conceded2036
Scored per game1.21.6
Conceded per game1.01.8
Home record6W 3D 2L2W 3D 6L
Away record2W 3D 4L4W 2D 3L
Clean sheets45%5%
Both teams scored50%80%
Over 2.5 goals30%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.46
Over 2.5 goals41%2.43
Over 3.5 goals21%4.83
Both teams to score47%2.12
Sport Boys or Draw74%1.36
FC Cajamarca or Draw56%1.80
Sport Boys to win and Over 2.523%4.30
FC Cajamarca to win and Over 2.513%7.68
Sport Boys clean sheet37%2.67
FC Cajamarca clean sheet26%3.86

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
1-012.3%
0-010.5%
2-08.9%
0-18.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca?

Our prediction for Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca is Sport Boys to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Sport Boys to score 1.4 goals and FC Cajamarca 1.0.

Will both teams score in Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Sport Boys last 20 games and 16 of FC Cajamarca last 20.

How are Sport Boys playing?

Sport Boys have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

How are FC Cajamarca playing?

FC Cajamarca have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Sport Boys and FC Cajamarca last met?

It ended FC Cajamarca 3, Sport Boys 2. In the last 1 meeting Sport Boys won 0 and FC Cajamarca won 1.

What is the best bet for Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sport Boys against Cajamarca. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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