Predictions › Peru › Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atlético

Peruvian Liga 1Sat 24 Oct, 17:45 Peru time

Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atlético prediction

Estadio Huancayo

Sport HuancayoHome

1.76 : 1.46

expected goals

Alianza AtléticoAway

44%Huancayo

24%Draw

32%Alianza Atl

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atlético is Sport Huancayo to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction: Sport Huancayo to win
Chance: 44%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Sport Huancayo 1.8, Alianza Atlético 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score: 64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sport Huancayo to win and Over 2.5

30% chanceFair price 3.361 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Sport Huancayo 44%, the draw 24% and Alianza Atlético 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Sport Huancayo took 15 points from their last 5 games and Alianza Atlético took 12 from 5. Sport Huancayo come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Sport Huancayo won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Alianza Atlético won 4 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Sport Huancayo score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.6. Alianza Atlético score 1.8 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Sport Huancayo games and 14 of Alianza Atlético games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Sport Huancayo won 0 and Alianza Atlético won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Alianza Atlético 4, Sport Huancayo 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Huancayorecent form+6%
Alianza Atlrecent form+3%

Huancayo form D W W W WAlianza Atl form D W L W WHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atlético: Sport Huancayo shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sport Huancayo host Alianza Atlético in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sat 24 Oct, 17:45 at Estadio Huancayo. Our prediction for Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atlético is Sport Huancayo to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Sport Huancayo form

Sport Huancayo have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Alianza Atlético form

Alianza Atlético have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Sport Huancayo won 0, Alianza Atlético won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Alianza Atlético 4, Sport Huancayo 1.

Our call

We expect Sport Huancayo to score about 1.8 goals and Alianza Atlético about 1.5. That points to Sport Huancayo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Sport Huancayo to win and Over 2.5 at 3.36.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Huancayo	Alianza Atl
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	10
Draws	4	3
Losses	7	7
Goals scored	30	36
Goals conceded	32	30
Scored per game	1.5	1.8
Conceded per game	1.6	1.5
Home record	5W 3D 1L	6W 2D 1L
Away record	4W 1D 6L	4W 1D 6L
Clean sheets	20%	10%
Both teams scored	75%	80%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	84%	1.19
Over 2.5 goals	62%	1.60
Over 3.5 goals	40%	2.49
Both teams to score	64%	1.56
Sport Huancayo or Draw	69%	1.46
Alianza Atlético or Draw	56%	1.79
Sport Huancayo to win and Over 2.5	32%	3.16
Alianza Atlético to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.54
Sport Huancayo clean sheet	23%	4.31
Alianza Atlético clean sheet	17%	5.81

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.9%

2-19.0%

1-27.5%

2-26.6%

1-06.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atlético?

Our prediction for Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atlético is Sport Huancayo to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atlético?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Sport Huancayo to score 1.8 goals and Alianza Atlético 1.5.

Will both teams score in Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atlético?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Sport Huancayo last 20 games and 16 of Alianza Atlético last 20.

How are Sport Huancayo playing?

How are Alianza Atlético playing?

What happened when Sport Huancayo and Alianza Atlético last met?

It ended Alianza Atlético 4, Sport Huancayo 1. In the last 1 meeting Sport Huancayo won 0 and Alianza Atlético won 1.

What is the best bet for Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atlético?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Huancayo against Alianza Atl. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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