Predictions › Peru › Sport Huancayo vs Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1Fri 16 Oct, 18:00 Peru time

Sport Huancayo vs Cusco FC prediction

Estadio Huancayo

Sport HuancayoHome
1.97 : 1.37
expected goals
Cusco FCAway
51%Huancayo
23%Draw
26%Cusco
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sport Huancayo vs Cusco FC is Sport Huancayo to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Sport Huancayo to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sport Huancayo 2.0, Cusco FC 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sport Huancayo to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 2.801 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sport Huancayo 51%, the draw 23% and Cusco FC 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sport Huancayo took 12 points from their last 5 games and Cusco FC took 9 from 5. Sport Huancayo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sport Huancayo won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Cusco FC won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sport Huancayo score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.8. Cusco FC score 1.5 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Sport Huancayo games and 12 of Cusco FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sport Huancayo won 0 and Cusco FC won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Cusco FC 2, Sport Huancayo 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Huancayorecent form+4%
  • Cuscorecent form+1%
Huancayo form W W W W LCusco form W L W W LHome edge in this league 45% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sport Huancayo vs Cusco FC: Sport Huancayo are favourites

The big picture

Sport Huancayo host Cusco FC in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Fri 16 Oct, 18:00 at Estadio Huancayo. Our prediction for Sport Huancayo vs Cusco FC is Sport Huancayo to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Sport Huancayo form

Sport Huancayo have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Cusco FC form

Cusco FC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sport Huancayo won 0, Cusco FC won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Cusco FC 2, Sport Huancayo 1.

Our call

We expect Sport Huancayo to score about 2.0 goals and Cusco FC about 1.4. That points to Sport Huancayo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Sport Huancayo to win and Over 2.5 at 2.80.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HuancayoCusco
Games played2020
Wins89
Draws43
Losses88
Goals scored2930
Goals conceded3528
Scored per game1.41.5
Conceded per game1.81.4
Home record5W 3D 1L6W 2D 2L
Away record3W 1D 7L3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets15%15%
Both teams scored75%65%
Over 2.5 goals70%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%1.55
Over 3.5 goals43%2.34
Both teams to score65%1.55
Sport Huancayo or Draw74%1.35
Cusco FC or Draw49%2.03
Sport Huancayo to win and Over 2.538%2.67
Cusco FC to win and Over 2.518%5.42
Sport Huancayo clean sheet25%3.92
Cusco FC clean sheet14%7.13

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.2%
2-19.4%
2-06.9%
1-26.6%
2-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sport Huancayo vs Cusco FC?

Our prediction for Sport Huancayo vs Cusco FC is Sport Huancayo to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Sport Huancayo vs Cusco FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Sport Huancayo to score 2.0 goals and Cusco FC 1.4.

Will both teams score in Sport Huancayo vs Cusco FC?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Sport Huancayo last 20 games and 13 of Cusco FC last 20.

How are Sport Huancayo playing?

Sport Huancayo have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Cusco FC playing?

Cusco FC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Sport Huancayo and Cusco FC last met?

It ended Cusco FC 2, Sport Huancayo 1. In the last 2 meetings Sport Huancayo won 0 and Cusco FC won 2.

What is the best bet for Sport Huancayo vs Cusco FC?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Huancayo against Cusco. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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