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Predictions › Peru › Sport Huancayo vs Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 Peru time

Sport Huancayo vs Melgar prediction

Estadio Huancayo

Sport HuancayoHome
1.29 : 1.32
expected goals
MelgarAway
36%Huancayo
28%Draw
37%Melgar
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sport Huancayo vs Melgar is Melgar to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Melgar to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sport Huancayo 1.3, Melgar 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sport Huancayo 36%, the draw 28% and Melgar 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sport Huancayo took 15 points from their last 5 games and Melgar took 11 from 5. Sport Huancayo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sport Huancayo won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Melgar won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sport Huancayo score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. Melgar score 1.9 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Sport Huancayo games and 11 of Melgar games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sport Huancayo won 0 and Melgar won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Melgar 4, Sport Huancayo 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Huancayorecent form+4%
  • Melgarrecent form+1%
Huancayo form W W W W LMelgar form D W W L DHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sport Huancayo vs Melgar: Melgar shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sport Huancayo host Melgar in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 at Estadio Huancayo. Our prediction for Sport Huancayo vs Melgar is Melgar to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Sport Huancayo form

Sport Huancayo have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Melgar form

Melgar have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sport Huancayo won 0, Melgar won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Melgar 4, Sport Huancayo 1.

Our call

We expect Sport Huancayo to score about 1.3 goals and Melgar about 1.3. That points to Melgar to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.54.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HuancayoMelgar
Games played2020
Wins1011
Draws36
Losses73
Goals scored3138
Goals conceded3220
Scored per game1.61.9
Conceded per game1.61.0
Home record6W 2D 1L7W 2D 1L
Away record4W 1D 6L4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored75%65%
Over 2.5 goals70%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.06
Over 3.5 goals27%3.75
Both teams to score54%1.86
Sport Huancayo or Draw63%1.58
Melgar or Draw64%1.55
Sport Huancayo to win and Over 2.521%4.84
Melgar to win and Over 2.521%4.69
Sport Huancayo clean sheet27%3.73
Melgar clean sheet27%3.65

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
0-18.9%
1-08.8%
1-28.2%
2-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sport Huancayo vs Melgar?

Our prediction for Sport Huancayo vs Melgar is Melgar to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Sport Huancayo vs Melgar?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-0. We expect Sport Huancayo to score 1.3 goals and Melgar 1.3.

Will both teams score in Sport Huancayo vs Melgar?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Sport Huancayo last 20 games and 13 of Melgar last 20.

How are Sport Huancayo playing?

Sport Huancayo have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Melgar playing?

Melgar have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Sport Huancayo and Melgar last met?

It ended Melgar 4, Sport Huancayo 1. In the last 2 meetings Sport Huancayo won 0 and Melgar won 2.

What is the best bet for Sport Huancayo vs Melgar?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Huancayo against Melgar. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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