PredictionsPeruSport Huancayo vs UTC
Peruvian Liga 1Sun 20 Sept, 18:00 Peru time

Sport Huancayo vs UTC prediction

Estadio Huancayo

Sport HuancayoHome
1.99 : 1.04
expected goals
UTCAway
59%Huancayo
23%Draw
19%UTC
Eagle safe pickSport Huancayo or Draw
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sport Huancayo vs UTC is Sport Huancayo to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sport Huancayo or Draw at 1.21.

Prediction
Sport Huancayo to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sport Huancayo 2.0, UTC 1.0
Best bet
Sport Huancayo or Draw at 1.21
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Sport Huancayo or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units

Eagle bold pick

Sport Huancayo to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 2.691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sport Huancayo 59%, the draw 23% and UTC 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sport Huancayo took 9 points from their last 5 games and UTC took 0 from 5. Sport Huancayo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sport Huancayo won 4 of their last 9 games at home. UTC won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sport Huancayo score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.7. UTC score 1.0 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Sport Huancayo games and 12 of UTC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sport Huancayo won 1 and UTC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended UTC 2, Sport Huancayo 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Sport Huancayo or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Huancayorecent form+1%
  • UTCrecent form-7%
  • Huancayorest between games-5%
  • UTCrest between games-5%
Huancayo form W W W L LUTC form L L L L LHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sport Huancayo vs UTC: Sport Huancayo are favourites

The big picture

Sport Huancayo host UTC in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sun 20 Sept, 18:00 at Estadio Huancayo. Our prediction for Sport Huancayo vs UTC is Sport Huancayo to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sport Huancayo or Draw at 1.21.

Sport Huancayo form

Sport Huancayo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

UTC form

UTC have 0 wins, 7 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sport Huancayo won 1, UTC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished UTC 2, Sport Huancayo 2.

Our call

We expect Sport Huancayo to score about 2.0 goals and UTC about 1.0. That points to Sport Huancayo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sport Huancayo or Draw at 1.21. Our bold bet is Sport Huancayo to win and Over 2.5 at 2.69.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HuancayoUTC
Games played2020
Wins70
Draws47
Losses913
Goals scored2620
Goals conceded3441
Scored per game1.31.0
Conceded per game1.72.0
Home record4W 3D 2L0W 6D 4L
Away record3W 1D 7L0W 1D 9L
Clean sheets15%10%
Both teams scored70%70%
Over 2.5 goals65%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals58%1.71
Over 3.5 goals36%2.78
Both teams to score57%1.77
Sport Huancayo or Draw81%1.23
UTC or Draw41%2.42
Sport Huancayo to win and Over 2.540%2.49
UTC to win and Over 2.512%8.58
Sport Huancayo clean sheet35%2.84
UTC clean sheet14%7.32

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
2-19.9%
2-09.5%
1-09.0%
3-16.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sport Huancayo vs UTC?

Our prediction for Sport Huancayo vs UTC is Sport Huancayo to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sport Huancayo or Draw at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Sport Huancayo vs UTC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Sport Huancayo to score 2.0 goals and UTC 1.0.

Will both teams score in Sport Huancayo vs UTC?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Sport Huancayo last 20 games and 14 of UTC last 20.

How are Sport Huancayo playing?

Sport Huancayo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are UTC playing?

UTC have 0 wins, 7 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Sport Huancayo and UTC last met?

It ended UTC 2, Sport Huancayo 2. In the last 2 meetings Sport Huancayo won 1 and UTC won 0.

What is the best bet for Sport Huancayo vs UTC?

Sport Huancayo or Draw at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Huancayo against UTC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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