EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Portugal › Sporting CP vs Académico de Viseu
Primeira LigaSun 25 Oct, 20:30 Portugal time

Sporting CP vs Académico de Viseu prediction

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting CPHome
1.97 : 1.21
expected goals
Académico de ViseuAway
55%Sporting
23%Draw
22%Académico
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sporting CP vs Académico de Viseu is Sporting CP to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Sporting CP to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sporting CP 2.0, Académico de Viseu 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sporting CP to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 2.521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sporting CP 55%, the draw 23% and Académico de Viseu 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sporting CP took 11 points from their last 5 games and Académico de Viseu took 12 from 5. Académico de Viseu come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sporting CP won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Académico de Viseu won 2 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sporting CP score 2.3 goals a game and let in 1.0. Académico de Viseu score 1.4 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Sporting CP games and 5 of Académico de Viseu games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sportingrecent form+3%
  • Académicorecent form+3%
  • Sportingrest between games-2%
Sporting form D W D D WAcadémico form D W W W LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sporting CP vs Académico de Viseu: Sporting CP are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sporting CP host Académico de Viseu in the Primeira Liga on Sun 25 Oct, 20:30 at Estádio José Alvalade. Our prediction for Sporting CP vs Académico de Viseu is Sporting CP to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Sporting CP form

Sporting CP have 12 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, W, newest first.

Académico de Viseu form

Académico de Viseu have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 8 games, with 11 goals scored and 10 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sporting CP to score about 2.0 goals and Académico de Viseu about 1.2. That points to Sporting CP to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Sporting CP to win and Over 2.5 at 2.52.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SportingAcadémico
Games played208
Wins124
Draws62
Losses22
Goals scored4611
Goals conceded2010
Scored per game2.31.4
Conceded per game1.01.3
Home record7W 2D 2L2W 0D 2L
Away record5W 4D 0L2W 2D 0L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored65%50%
Over 2.5 goals65%63%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals61%1.63
Over 3.5 goals39%2.55
Both teams to score61%1.64
Sporting CP or Draw78%1.29
Académico de Viseu or Draw45%2.20
Sporting CP to win and Over 2.539%2.58
Académico de Viseu to win and Over 2.515%6.67
Sporting CP clean sheet30%3.34
Académico de Viseu clean sheet14%7.17

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.5%
2-19.8%
2-08.1%
1-07.6%
3-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sporting CP vs Académico de Viseu?

Our prediction for Sporting CP vs Académico de Viseu is Sporting CP to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Sporting CP vs Académico de Viseu?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Sporting CP to score 2.0 goals and Académico de Viseu 1.2.

Will both teams score in Sporting CP vs Académico de Viseu?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Sporting CP last 20 games and 4 of Académico de Viseu last 8.

How are Sporting CP playing?

Sporting CP have 12 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, W, newest first.

How are Académico de Viseu playing?

Académico de Viseu have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 8 games, with 11 goals scored and 10 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sporting CP vs Académico de Viseu?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sporting against Académico. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.