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Predictions › Champions League › Sporting CP vs LASK Linz
Champions LeagueWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Sporting CP vs LASK Linz prediction

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting CPHome
2.36 : 1.28
expected goals
LASK LinzAway
61%Sporting
20%Draw
19%LASK Linz
Eagle safe pickSporting CP or Draw
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sporting CP vs LASK Linz is Sporting CP to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Sporting CP or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction
Sporting CP to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Sporting CP 2.4, LASK Linz 1.3
Best bet
Sporting CP or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sporting CP or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sporting CP to win and both score
35% chanceFair price 2.891 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sporting CP 61%, the draw 20% and LASK Linz 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sporting CP took 11 points from their last 5 games and LASK Linz took 4 from 5. Sporting CP come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sporting CP won 7 of their last 11 games at home. LASK Linz won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sporting CP score 2.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. LASK Linz score 2.3 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Sporting CP games and 14 of LASK Linz games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Sporting CP or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sportingrecent form+3%
  • LASK Linzrecent form-1%
  • Sportingrest between games-2%
  • LASK Linzrest between games-5%
Sporting form D D D W WLASK Linz form D D L L WHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sporting CP vs LASK Linz: Sporting CP are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sporting CP host LASK Linz in the Champions League on Wed 21 Oct, 19:00 at Estádio José Alvalade. Our prediction for Sporting CP vs LASK Linz is Sporting CP to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Sporting CP or Draw at 1.27.

Sporting CP form

Sporting CP have 12 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, W, newest first.

LASK Linz form

LASK Linz have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sporting CP to score about 2.4 goals and LASK Linz about 1.3. That points to Sporting CP to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sporting CP or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Sporting CP to win and both score at 2.89.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SportingLASK Linz
Games played2020
Wins1212
Draws64
Losses24
Goals scored4846
Goals conceded2123
Scored per game2.42.3
Conceded per game1.11.1
Home record7W 2D 2L7W 2D 1L
Away record5W 4D 0L5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored70%65%
Over 2.5 goals70%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%1.13
Over 2.5 goals70%1.42
Over 3.5 goals49%2.03
Both teams to score66%1.52
Sporting CP or Draw81%1.24
LASK Linz or Draw39%2.56
Sporting CP to win and Over 2.548%2.09
LASK Linz to win and Over 2.514%7.09
Sporting CP clean sheet28%3.60
LASK Linz clean sheet9%10.58

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.4%
1-18.4%
3-17.4%
2-07.3%
2-26.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sporting CP vs LASK Linz?

Our prediction for Sporting CP vs LASK Linz is Sporting CP to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Sporting CP or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Sporting CP vs LASK Linz?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 3-1. We expect Sporting CP to score 2.4 goals and LASK Linz 1.3.

Will both teams score in Sporting CP vs LASK Linz?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Sporting CP last 20 games and 13 of LASK Linz last 20.

How are Sporting CP playing?

Sporting CP have 12 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, W, newest first.

How are LASK Linz playing?

LASK Linz have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sporting CP vs LASK Linz?

Sporting CP or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sporting against LASK Linz. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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