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Predictions › Portugal › Sporting CP vs Moreirense
Primeira LigaSat 7 Nov, 20:30 Portugal time

Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting CPHome
2.53 : 1.01
expected goals
MoreirenseAway
70%Sporting
17%Draw
13%Moreirense
Eagle safe pickSporting CP draw no bet
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sporting CP vs Moreirense is Sporting CP to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Sporting CP draw no bet at 1.18.

Prediction
Sporting CP to win
Chance
70%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Sporting CP 2.5, Moreirense 1.0
Best bet
Sporting CP draw no bet at 1.18
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sporting CP draw no bet
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sporting CP to win and both score
36% chanceFair price 2.771 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sporting CP 70%, the draw 17% and Moreirense 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sporting CP took 7 points from their last 5 games and Moreirense took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sporting CP won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Moreirense won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sporting CP score 2.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Moreirense score 0.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Sporting CP games and 9 of Moreirense games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sporting CP won 2 and Moreirense won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Moreirense 0, Sporting CP 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Sporting CP draw no bet has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sportingrecent form+1%
  • Moreirenserecent form-1%
Sporting form D L W W DMoreirense form D L L D WHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sporting CP vs Moreirense: Sporting CP are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sporting CP host Moreirense in the Primeira Liga on Sat 7 Nov, 20:30 at Estádio José Alvalade. Our prediction for Sporting CP vs Moreirense is Sporting CP to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Sporting CP draw no bet at 1.18.

Sporting CP form

Sporting CP have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Moreirense form

Moreirense have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sporting CP won 2, Moreirense won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Moreirense 0, Sporting CP 3.

Our call

We expect Sporting CP to score about 2.5 goals and Moreirense about 1.0. That points to Sporting CP to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sporting CP draw no bet at 1.18. Our bold bet is Sporting CP to win and both score at 2.77.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SportingMoreirense
Games played2020
Wins115
Draws66
Losses39
Goals scored4519
Goals conceded2232
Scored per game2.30.9
Conceded per game1.11.6
Home record6W 2D 3L3W 3D 4L
Away record5W 4D 0L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored70%50%
Over 2.5 goals70%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals69%1.46
Over 3.5 goals47%2.12
Both teams to score59%1.70
Sporting CP or Draw87%1.14
Moreirense or Draw30%3.33
Sporting CP to win and Over 2.554%1.86
Moreirense to win and Over 2.59%11.63
Sporting CP clean sheet36%2.74
Moreirense clean sheet8%12.60

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.4%
2-09.3%
3-17.9%
3-07.8%
1-17.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sporting CP vs Moreirense?

Our prediction for Sporting CP vs Moreirense is Sporting CP to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Sporting CP draw no bet at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Sporting CP vs Moreirense?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 3-1. We expect Sporting CP to score 2.5 goals and Moreirense 1.0.

Will both teams score in Sporting CP vs Moreirense?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Sporting CP last 20 games and 10 of Moreirense last 20.

How are Sporting CP playing?

Sporting CP have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Moreirense playing?

Moreirense have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Sporting CP and Moreirense last met?

It ended Moreirense 0, Sporting CP 3. In the last 2 meetings Sporting CP won 2 and Moreirense won 0.

What is the best bet for Sporting CP vs Moreirense?

Sporting CP draw no bet at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sporting against Moreirense. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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