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Predictions › Peru › Sporting Cristal vs Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1Sat 19 Sept, 20:30 Peru time

Sporting Cristal vs Atlético Grau prediction

Estadio Alberto Gallardo

Sporting CristalHome
1.92 : 0.77
expected goals
Atlético GrauAway
64%Sporting Cristal
22%Draw
14%Atlético Grau
Eagle safe pickSporting Cristal draw no bet
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Atlético Grau is Sporting Cristal to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Sporting Cristal draw no bet at 1.17.

Prediction
Sporting Cristal to win
Chance
64%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Sporting Cristal 1.9, Atlético Grau 0.8
Best bet
Sporting Cristal draw no bet at 1.17
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sporting Cristal draw no bet
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sporting Cristal to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 2.791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sporting Cristal 64%, the draw 22% and Atlético Grau 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sporting Cristal took 7 points from their last 5 games and Atlético Grau took 10 from 5. Atlético Grau come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sporting Cristal won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Atlético Grau won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sporting Cristal score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. Atlético Grau score 1.0 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Sporting Cristal games and 6 of Atlético Grau games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sporting Cristal won 1 and Atlético Grau won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Atlético Grau 4, Sporting Cristal 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Sporting Cristal draw no bet has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Atlético Graurecent form+3%
Sporting Cristal form W L L W DAtlético Grau form L W W W DHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sporting Cristal vs Atlético Grau: Sporting Cristal are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sporting Cristal host Atlético Grau in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sat 19 Sept, 20:30 at Estadio Alberto Gallardo. Our prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Atlético Grau is Sporting Cristal to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Sporting Cristal draw no bet at 1.17.

Sporting Cristal form

Sporting Cristal have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Atlético Grau form

Atlético Grau have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sporting Cristal won 1, Atlético Grau won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético Grau 4, Sporting Cristal 1.

Our call

We expect Sporting Cristal to score about 1.9 goals and Atlético Grau about 0.8. That points to Sporting Cristal to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sporting Cristal draw no bet at 1.17. Our bold bet is Sporting Cristal to win and Over 2.5 at 2.79.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sporting CristalAtlético Grau
Games played2020
Wins78
Draws34
Losses108
Goals scored3120
Goals conceded3219
Scored per game1.61.0
Conceded per game1.60.9
Home record7W 1D 1L6W 1D 3L
Away record0W 2D 9L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets20%40%
Both teams scored60%30%
Over 2.5 goals55%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals50%1.98
Over 3.5 goals28%3.52
Both teams to score46%2.15
Sporting Cristal or Draw86%1.16
Atlético Grau or Draw36%2.77
Sporting Cristal to win and Over 2.539%2.57
Atlético Grau to win and Over 2.57%14.15
Sporting Cristal clean sheet46%2.16
Atlético Grau clean sheet15%6.81

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-012.5%
1-012.4%
1-110.6%
2-19.6%
3-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Atlético Grau?

Our prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Atlético Grau is Sporting Cristal to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Sporting Cristal draw no bet at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Atlético Grau?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Sporting Cristal to score 1.9 goals and Atlético Grau 0.8.

Will both teams score in Sporting Cristal vs Atlético Grau?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Sporting Cristal last 20 games and 6 of Atlético Grau last 20.

How are Sporting Cristal playing?

Sporting Cristal have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Atlético Grau playing?

Atlético Grau have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Sporting Cristal and Atlético Grau last met?

It ended Atlético Grau 4, Sporting Cristal 1. In the last 2 meetings Sporting Cristal won 1 and Atlético Grau won 1.

What is the best bet for Sporting Cristal vs Atlético Grau?

Sporting Cristal draw no bet at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sporting Cristal against Atlético Grau. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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