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Predictions › Peru › Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano del Cusco
Peruvian Liga 1Sun 22 Nov, 20:00 Peru time

Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano del Cusco prediction

Estadio Alberto Gallardo

Sporting CristalHome
2.22 : 1.08
expected goals
Cienciano del CuscoAway
63%Sporting Cristal
20%Draw
17%Cienciano
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano del Cusco is Sporting Cristal to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Sporting Cristal to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Sporting Cristal 2.2, Cienciano del Cusco 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sporting Cristal to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 2.291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sporting Cristal 63%, the draw 20% and Cienciano del Cusco 17%. The bookmakers agree and make Sporting Cristal the favourite at 1.48.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sporting Cristal took 10 points from their last 5 games and Cienciano del Cusco took 6 from 5. Sporting Cristal come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sporting Cristal won 9 of their last 9 games at home. Cienciano del Cusco won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sporting Cristal score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.4. Cienciano del Cusco score 1.4 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Sporting Cristal games and 11 of Cienciano del Cusco games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sporting Cristal won 1 and Cienciano del Cusco won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Cienciano del Cusco 3, Sporting Cristal 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sporting Cristalrecent form+3%
  • Ciencianorecent form-1%
Sporting Cristal form D W W L WCienciano form L L W L WHome edge in this league 45% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano del Cusco: Sporting Cristal are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sporting Cristal host Cienciano del Cusco in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sun 22 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio Alberto Gallardo. Our prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano del Cusco is Sporting Cristal to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Sporting Cristal form

Sporting Cristal have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Cienciano del Cusco form

Cienciano del Cusco have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sporting Cristal won 1, Cienciano del Cusco won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Cienciano del Cusco 3, Sporting Cristal 2.

Our call

We expect Sporting Cristal to score about 2.2 goals and Cienciano del Cusco about 1.1. That points to Sporting Cristal to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Sporting Cristal to win and Over 2.5 at 2.29.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sporting CristalCienciano
Games played2020
Wins117
Draws23
Losses710
Goals scored4127
Goals conceded2730
Scored per game2.01.4
Conceded per game1.41.5
Home record9W 0D 0L4W 2D 4L
Away record2W 2D 7L3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored65%55%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Sporting Cristal to win59%1.691.48-12.8%
A Draw20%5.074.10-19.2%
Cienciano del Cusco to win16%6.355.00-21.2%
Over 3.5 goals40%2.482.15-13.1%
Under 3.5 goals53%1.891.54-18.6%
Sporting Cristal -1.539%2.572.25-12.5%
Cienciano del Cusco +1.554%1.841.49-19.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.56
Over 3.5 goals42%2.38
Both teams to score59%1.69
Sporting Cristal or Draw83%1.20
Cienciano del Cusco or Draw37%2.69
Sporting Cristal to win and Over 2.546%2.17
Cienciano del Cusco to win and Over 2.511%9.00
Sporting Cristal clean sheet34%2.93
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet11%9.25

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.8%
1-19.4%
2-09.1%
1-07.7%
3-17.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano del Cusco?

Our prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano del Cusco is Sporting Cristal to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano del Cusco?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Sporting Cristal to score 2.2 goals and Cienciano del Cusco 1.1.

Will both teams score in Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano del Cusco?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Sporting Cristal last 20 games and 11 of Cienciano del Cusco last 20.

How are Sporting Cristal playing?

Sporting Cristal have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Cienciano del Cusco playing?

Cienciano del Cusco have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Sporting Cristal and Cienciano del Cusco last met?

It ended Cienciano del Cusco 3, Sporting Cristal 2. In the last 2 meetings Sporting Cristal won 1 and Cienciano del Cusco won 1.

What is the best bet for Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano del Cusco?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sporting Cristal against Cienciano. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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