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Predictions › Peru › Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1Sun 18 Oct, 16:00 Peru time

Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos prediction

Estadio Alberto Gallardo

Sporting CristalHome
2.26 : 1.03
expected goals
Comerciantes UnidosAway
65%Sporting Cristal
20%Draw
15%Comer Unid
Eagle safe pickSporting Cristal or Draw
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos is Sporting Cristal to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Sporting Cristal or Draw at 1.22.

Prediction
Sporting Cristal to win
Chance
65%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Sporting Cristal 2.3, Comerciantes Unidos 1.0
Best bet
Sporting Cristal or Draw at 1.22
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sporting Cristal or Draw
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sporting Cristal to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 2.271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sporting Cristal 65%, the draw 20% and Comerciantes Unidos 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sporting Cristal took 9 points from their last 5 games and Comerciantes Unidos took 4 from 5. Sporting Cristal come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sporting Cristal won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Comerciantes Unidos won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sporting Cristal score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Comerciantes Unidos score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Sporting Cristal games and 9 of Comerciantes Unidos games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sporting Cristal won 1 and Comerciantes Unidos won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Comerciantes Unidos 1, Sporting Cristal 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Sporting Cristal or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sporting Cristalrecent form+1%
  • Comer Unidrecent form-3%
Sporting Cristal form W W W L LComer Unid form L L D L WHome edge in this league 45% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos: Sporting Cristal are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sporting Cristal host Comerciantes Unidos in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sun 18 Oct, 16:00 at Estadio Alberto Gallardo. Our prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos is Sporting Cristal to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Sporting Cristal or Draw at 1.22.

Sporting Cristal form

Sporting Cristal have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Comerciantes Unidos form

Comerciantes Unidos have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sporting Cristal won 1, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Comerciantes Unidos 1, Sporting Cristal 0.

Our call

We expect Sporting Cristal to score about 2.3 goals and Comerciantes Unidos about 1.0. That points to Sporting Cristal to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sporting Cristal or Draw at 1.22. Our bold bet is Sporting Cristal to win and Over 2.5 at 2.27.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sporting CristalComer Unid
Games played2020
Wins84
Draws38
Losses98
Goals scored3223
Goals conceded2826
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.41.3
Home record7W 1D 1L3W 4D 2L
Away record1W 2D 8L1W 4D 6L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.57
Over 3.5 goals42%2.40
Both teams to score58%1.72
Sporting Cristal or Draw85%1.18
Comerciantes Unidos or Draw35%2.83
Sporting Cristal to win and Over 2.547%2.12
Comerciantes Unidos to win and Over 2.510%9.92
Sporting Cristal clean sheet36%2.79
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet10%9.57

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.8%
2-09.6%
1-19.2%
1-07.9%
3-17.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Our prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos is Sporting Cristal to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Sporting Cristal or Draw at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Sporting Cristal to score 2.3 goals and Comerciantes Unidos 1.0.

Will both teams score in Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Sporting Cristal last 20 games and 11 of Comerciantes Unidos last 20.

How are Sporting Cristal playing?

Sporting Cristal have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Comerciantes Unidos playing?

Comerciantes Unidos have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Sporting Cristal and Comerciantes Unidos last met?

It ended Comerciantes Unidos 1, Sporting Cristal 0. In the last 2 meetings Sporting Cristal won 1 and Comerciantes Unidos won 1.

What is the best bet for Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Sporting Cristal or Draw at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sporting Cristal against Comer Unid. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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