Predictions › Peru › Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca

Peruvian Liga 1Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 Peru time

Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca prediction

Estadio Alberto Gallardo

Sporting CristalHome

2.11 : 1.13

expected goals

FC CajamarcaAway

59%Sporting Cristal

22%Draw

19%Cajamarca

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca is Sporting Cristal to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction: Sporting Cristal to win
Chance: 59%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Sporting Cristal 2.1, FC Cajamarca 1.1
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score: 60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1.202 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sporting Cristal to win and Over 2.5

43% chanceFair price 2.311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Sporting Cristal 59%, the draw 22% and FC Cajamarca 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Sporting Cristal took 15 points from their last 5 games and FC Cajamarca took 4 from 5. Sporting Cristal come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Sporting Cristal won 7 of their last 9 games at home. FC Cajamarca won 4 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Sporting Cristal score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. FC Cajamarca score 1.6 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Sporting Cristal games and 14 of FC Cajamarca games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Sporting Cristal won 0 and FC Cajamarca won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended FC Cajamarca 3, Sporting Cristal 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Sporting Cristalrecent form+1%
Cajamarcarecent form-1%

Sporting Cristal form W W W L LCajamarca form L W L W LHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca: Sporting Cristal are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sporting Cristal host FC Cajamarca in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 at Estadio Alberto Gallardo. Our prediction for Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca is Sporting Cristal to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Sporting Cristal form

Sporting Cristal have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

FC Cajamarca form

FC Cajamarca have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Sporting Cristal won 0, FC Cajamarca won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished FC Cajamarca 3, Sporting Cristal 1.

Our call

We expect Sporting Cristal to score about 2.1 goals and FC Cajamarca about 1.1. That points to Sporting Cristal to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Sporting Cristal to win and Over 2.5 at 2.31.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Sporting Cristal	Cajamarca
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	6
Draws	3	5
Losses	8	9
Goals scored	35	31
Goals conceded	29	36
Scored per game	1.8	1.6
Conceded per game	1.4	1.8
Home record	7W 1D 1L	2W 3D 6L
Away record	2W 2D 7L	4W 2D 3L
Clean sheets	20%	5%
Both teams scored	65%	80%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	84%	1.19
Over 2.5 goals	63%	1.59
Over 3.5 goals	41%	2.45
Both teams to score	60%	1.66
Sporting Cristal or Draw	81%	1.24
FC Cajamarca or Draw	41%	2.45
Sporting Cristal to win and Over 2.5	43%	2.33
FC Cajamarca to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.84
Sporting Cristal clean sheet	32%	3.10
FC Cajamarca clean sheet	12%	8.26

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.9%

2-19.8%

2-08.7%

1-07.7%

3-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?

Our prediction for Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca is Sporting Cristal to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Sporting Cristal to score 2.1 goals and FC Cajamarca 1.1.

Will both teams score in Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Sporting Cristal last 20 games and 16 of FC Cajamarca last 20.

How are Sporting Cristal playing?

How are FC Cajamarca playing?

What happened when Sporting Cristal and FC Cajamarca last met?

It ended FC Cajamarca 3, Sporting Cristal 1. In the last 1 meeting Sporting Cristal won 0 and FC Cajamarca won 1.

What is the best bet for Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sporting Cristal against Cajamarca. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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