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Predictions › Spain › Sporting Gijón vs Albacete
LaLiga 2Sat 17 Oct, 16:30 Spain time

Sporting Gijón vs Albacete prediction

Estadio El Molinón-Enrique Castro "Quini"

Sporting GijónHome
1.23 : 0.84
expected goals
AlbaceteAway
45%Gijón
31%Draw
24%Albacete
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sporting Gijón vs Albacete is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Sporting Gijón to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Sporting Gijón 1.2, Albacete 0.8
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
15% chanceFair price 6.771 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sporting Gijón 45%, the draw 31% and Albacete 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sporting Gijón took 6 points from their last 5 games and Albacete took 1 from 5. Sporting Gijón come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sporting Gijón won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Albacete won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sporting Gijón score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.2. Albacete score 1.3 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Sporting Gijón games and 12 of Albacete games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sporting Gijón won 0 and Albacete won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Albacete 1, Sporting Gijón 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Gijónrecent form-1%
  • Albaceterecent form-6%
Gijón form W L W L LAlbacete form L L L D LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sporting Gijón vs Albacete: Sporting Gijón shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sporting Gijón host Albacete in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 17 Oct, 16:30 at Estadio El Molinón-Enrique Castro "Quini". Our prediction for Sporting Gijón vs Albacete is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Sporting Gijón form

Sporting Gijón have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Albacete form

Albacete have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sporting Gijón won 0, Albacete won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Albacete 1, Sporting Gijón 1.

Our call

We expect Sporting Gijón to score about 1.2 goals and Albacete about 0.8. That points to Sporting Gijón to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.77.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GijónAlbacete
Games played2020
Wins96
Draws23
Losses911
Goals scored2626
Goals conceded2430
Scored per game1.31.3
Conceded per game1.21.5
Home record5W 2D 3L3W 1D 6L
Away record4W 0D 6L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets25%10%
Both teams scored50%65%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.61
Over 2.5 goals34%2.92
Over 3.5 goals16%6.43
Both teams to score41%2.44
Sporting Gijón or Draw76%1.32
Albacete or Draw55%1.81
Sporting Gijón to win and Over 2.520%4.93
Albacete to win and Over 2.510%9.84
Sporting Gijón clean sheet43%2.31
Albacete clean sheet29%3.43

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.8%
1-113.8%
0-013.4%
0-19.8%
2-09.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sporting Gijón vs Albacete?

Our prediction for Sporting Gijón vs Albacete is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Sporting Gijón vs Albacete?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Sporting Gijón to score 1.2 goals and Albacete 0.8.

Will both teams score in Sporting Gijón vs Albacete?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Sporting Gijón last 20 games and 13 of Albacete last 20.

How are Sporting Gijón playing?

Sporting Gijón have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Albacete playing?

Albacete have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Sporting Gijón and Albacete last met?

It ended Albacete 1, Sporting Gijón 1. In the last 2 meetings Sporting Gijón won 0 and Albacete won 1.

What is the best bet for Sporting Gijón vs Albacete?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Gijón against Albacete. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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