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Predictions › Spain › Sporting Gijón vs Eldense
LaLiga 2Sun 13 Sept, 12:00 Spain time

Sporting Gijón vs Eldense prediction

Estadio El Molinón-Enrique Castro "Quini"

Sporting GijónHome
1.68 : 0.85
expected goals
EldenseAway
56%Gijón
25%Draw
18%Eldense
Eagle safe pickSporting Gijón or Draw
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sporting Gijón vs Eldense is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Sporting Gijón or Draw at 1.18.

Prediction
Sporting Gijón to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Sporting Gijón 1.7, Eldense 0.8
Best bet
Sporting Gijón or Draw at 1.18
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sporting Gijón or Draw
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sporting Gijón to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sporting Gijón 56%, the draw 25% and Eldense 18%. The bookmakers agree and make Sporting Gijón the favourite at 1.69.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sporting Gijón took 10 points from their last 5 games and Eldense took 2 from 4. Sporting Gijón come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Sporting Gijón score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Eldense score 0.5 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Sporting Gijón games and 2 of Eldense games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Sporting Gijón or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Gijónrecent form+3%
  • Eldenserecent form-4%
Gijón form L W W D WEldense form D L D L LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sporting Gijón vs Eldense: Sporting Gijón are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sporting Gijón host Eldense in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 13 Sept, 12:00 at Estadio El Molinón-Enrique Castro "Quini". Our prediction for Sporting Gijón vs Eldense is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Sporting Gijón or Draw at 1.18.

Sporting Gijón form

Sporting Gijón have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Eldense form

Eldense have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 4 games, with 2 goals scored and 6 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 2. Their last 4 results read D, L, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sporting Gijón to score about 1.7 goals and Eldense about 0.8. That points to Sporting Gijón to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sporting Gijón or Draw at 1.18. Our bold bet is Sporting Gijón to win and Over 2.5 at 3.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GijónEldense
Games played204
Wins80
Draws42
Losses82
Goals scored262
Goals conceded226
Scored per game1.30.5
Conceded per game1.11.5
Home record5W 4D 2L0W 2D 0L
Away record3W 0D 6L0W 0D 2L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored50%25%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Sporting Gijón to win57%1.761.69-4.1%
A Draw24%4.173.75-10.2%
Eldense to win16%6.135.00-18.4%
Over 2.5 goals44%2.252.00-11.2%
Under 2.5 goals53%1.881.74-7.5%
Sporting Gijón -0.556%1.771.65-7.2%
Eldense +0.541%2.432.10-13.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.16
Over 3.5 goals25%4.03
Both teams to score47%2.12
Sporting Gijón or Draw82%1.22
Eldense or Draw44%2.30
Sporting Gijón to win and Over 2.532%3.08
Eldense to win and Over 2.59%10.97
Sporting Gijón clean sheet43%2.33
Eldense clean sheet19%5.37

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-012.7%
1-112.0%
2-011.3%
2-19.6%
0-08.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sporting Gijón vs Eldense?

Our prediction for Sporting Gijón vs Eldense is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Sporting Gijón or Draw at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Sporting Gijón vs Eldense?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Sporting Gijón to score 1.7 goals and Eldense 0.8.

Will both teams score in Sporting Gijón vs Eldense?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Sporting Gijón last 20 games and 1 of Eldense last 4.

How are Sporting Gijón playing?

Sporting Gijón have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Eldense playing?

Eldense have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 4 games, with 2 goals scored and 6 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 2. Their last 4 results read D, L, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sporting Gijón vs Eldense?

Sporting Gijón or Draw at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Gijón against Eldense. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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