Predictions › Spain › Sporting Gijón vs Las Palmas

LaLiga 2Sun 22 Nov, 15:15 Spain time

Sporting Gijón vs Las Palmas prediction

Estadio El Molinón-Enrique Castro "Quini"

Sporting GijónHome

1.60 : 1.28

expected goals

Las PalmasAway

44%Gijón

26%Draw

30%Las Palmas

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sporting Gijón vs Las Palmas is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction: Sporting Gijón to win
Chance: 44%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Sporting Gijón 1.6, Las Palmas 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score: 58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

79% chanceFair price 1.272 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sporting Gijón to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 3.551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Sporting Gijón 44%, the draw 26% and Las Palmas 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Sporting Gijón took 9 points from their last 5 games and Las Palmas took 9 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Sporting Gijón won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Las Palmas won 5 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Sporting Gijón score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. Las Palmas score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Sporting Gijón games and 12 of Las Palmas games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Sporting Gijón won 0 and Las Palmas won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Las Palmas 1, Sporting Gijón 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Gijónrecent form+1%
Las Palmasrecent form+3%

Gijón form L W W L WLas Palmas form D W W W LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sporting Gijón vs Las Palmas: Sporting Gijón shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sporting Gijón host Las Palmas in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 22 Nov, 15:15 at Estadio El Molinón-Enrique Castro "Quini". Our prediction for Sporting Gijón vs Las Palmas is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Sporting Gijón form

Sporting Gijón have 11 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Las Palmas form

Las Palmas have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sporting Gijón won 0, Las Palmas won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Las Palmas 1, Sporting Gijón 0.

Our call

We expect Sporting Gijón to score about 1.6 goals and Las Palmas about 1.3. That points to Sporting Gijón to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Sporting Gijón to win and Over 2.5 at 3.55.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Gijón	Las Palmas
Games played	20	20
Wins	11	9
Draws	1	4
Losses	8	7
Goals scored	29	28
Goals conceded	25	32
Scored per game	1.4	1.4
Conceded per game	1.3	1.6
Home record	5W 1D 4L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	6W 0D 4L	5W 1D 4L
Clean sheets	30%	25%
Both teams scored	50%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.27
Over 2.5 goals	55%	1.82
Over 3.5 goals	33%	3.06
Both teams to score	58%	1.71
Sporting Gijón or Draw	70%	1.43
Las Palmas or Draw	56%	1.79
Sporting Gijón to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.49
Las Palmas to win and Over 2.5	19%	5.28
Sporting Gijón clean sheet	28%	3.61
Las Palmas clean sheet	20%	4.94

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%

2-19.2%

1-08.3%

1-27.4%

2-07.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sporting Gijón vs Las Palmas?

Our prediction for Sporting Gijón vs Las Palmas is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Sporting Gijón vs Las Palmas?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Sporting Gijón to score 1.6 goals and Las Palmas 1.3.

Will both teams score in Sporting Gijón vs Las Palmas?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Sporting Gijón last 20 games and 13 of Las Palmas last 20.

How are Sporting Gijón playing?

How are Las Palmas playing?

What happened when Sporting Gijón and Las Palmas last met?

It ended Las Palmas 1, Sporting Gijón 0. In the last 2 meetings Sporting Gijón won 0 and Las Palmas won 1.

What is the best bet for Sporting Gijón vs Las Palmas?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Gijón against Las Palmas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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