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Predictions › Spain › Sporting Gijón vs RC Celta Fortuna
LaLiga 2Sun 4 Oct, 14:15 Spain time

Sporting Gijón vs RC Celta Fortuna prediction

Estadio El Molinón-Enrique Castro "Quini"

Sporting GijónHome
1.05 : 0.77
expected goals
RC Celta FortunaAway
41%Gijón
34%Draw
26%Celta Fortuna
Eagle safe pickSporting Gijón or Draw
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sporting Gijón vs RC Celta Fortuna is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Sporting Gijón or Draw at 1.33.

Prediction
Sporting Gijón to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Sporting Gijón 1.1, RC Celta Fortuna 0.8
Best bet
Sporting Gijón or Draw at 1.33
Both teams to score
36%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sporting Gijón or Draw
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
17% chanceFair price 5.911 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sporting Gijón 41%, the draw 34% and RC Celta Fortuna 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sporting Gijón took 6 points from their last 5 games and RC Celta Fortuna took 4 from 5. Sporting Gijón come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sporting Gijón won 5 of their last 10 games at home. RC Celta Fortuna won 1 of their last 3 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sporting Gijón score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. RC Celta Fortuna score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Sporting Gijón games and 3 of RC Celta Fortuna games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Sporting Gijón or Draw has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Gijónrecent form-1%
  • Celta Fortunarecent form-3%
  • Gijónrest between games-5%
  • Celta Fortunarest between games-5%
Gijón form L W L L WCelta Fortuna form D L L W LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sporting Gijón vs RC Celta Fortuna: Sporting Gijón shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sporting Gijón host RC Celta Fortuna in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 4 Oct, 14:15 at Estadio El Molinón-Enrique Castro "Quini". Our prediction for Sporting Gijón vs RC Celta Fortuna is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Sporting Gijón or Draw at 1.33.

Sporting Gijón form

Sporting Gijón have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

RC Celta Fortuna form

RC Celta Fortuna have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 7 games, with 8 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sporting Gijón to score about 1.1 goals and RC Celta Fortuna about 0.8. That points to Sporting Gijón to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sporting Gijón or Draw at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 5.91.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GijónCelta Fortuna
Games played207
Wins92
Draws22
Losses93
Goals scored278
Goals conceded2311
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game1.11.6
Home record5W 2D 3L1W 1D 2L
Away record4W 0D 6L1W 1D 1L
Clean sheets25%29%
Both teams scored50%43%
Over 2.5 goals50%43%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals55%1.81
Over 2.5 goals28%3.62
Over 3.5 goals11%8.87
Both teams to score36%2.79
Sporting Gijón or Draw74%1.34
RC Celta Fortuna or Draw59%1.69
Sporting Gijón to win and Over 2.516%6.40
RC Celta Fortuna to win and Over 2.59%11.02
Sporting Gijón clean sheet46%2.16
RC Celta Fortuna clean sheet35%2.87

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-016.9%
1-016.2%
1-113.9%
0-111.7%
2-08.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sporting Gijón vs RC Celta Fortuna?

Our prediction for Sporting Gijón vs RC Celta Fortuna is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Sporting Gijón or Draw at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Sporting Gijón vs RC Celta Fortuna?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Sporting Gijón to score 1.1 goals and RC Celta Fortuna 0.8.

Will both teams score in Sporting Gijón vs RC Celta Fortuna?

Both teams to score has a 36% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Sporting Gijón last 20 games and 3 of RC Celta Fortuna last 7.

How are Sporting Gijón playing?

Sporting Gijón have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are RC Celta Fortuna playing?

RC Celta Fortuna have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 7 games, with 8 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sporting Gijón vs RC Celta Fortuna?

Sporting Gijón or Draw at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Gijón against Celta Fortuna. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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