Predictions › Spain › Sporting Gijón vs Real Valladolid

LaLiga 2Sun 8 Nov, 17:30 Spain time

Sporting Gijón vs Real Valladolid prediction

Estadio El Molinón-Enrique Castro "Quini"

Sporting GijónHome

1.67 : 0.89

expected goals

Real ValladolidAway

55%Gijón

26%Draw

19%Valladolid

Eagle safe pickSporting Gijón or Draw

1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sporting Gijón vs Real Valladolid is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sporting Gijón or Draw at 1.24.

Prediction: Sporting Gijón to win
Chance: 55%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Sporting Gijón 1.7, Real Valladolid 0.9
Best bet: Sporting Gijón or Draw at 1.24
Both teams to score: 49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sporting Gijón or Draw

81% chanceFair price 1.242 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sporting Gijón to win and Over 2.5

31% chanceFair price 3.191 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Sporting Gijón 55%, the draw 26% and Real Valladolid 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Sporting Gijón took 9 points from their last 5 games and Real Valladolid took 7 from 5. Sporting Gijón come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Sporting Gijón won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Real Valladolid won 0 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Sporting Gijón score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.2. Real Valladolid score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Sporting Gijón games and 8 of Real Valladolid games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Sporting Gijón won 1 and Real Valladolid won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Sporting Gijón 2, Real Valladolid 2.
6
The safest bet
Sporting Gijón or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Gijónrecent form+3%
Valladolidrecent form+1%

Gijón form D W W W LValladolid form D L W D WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sporting Gijón vs Real Valladolid: Sporting Gijón are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sporting Gijón host Real Valladolid in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 8 Nov, 17:30 at Estadio El Molinón-Enrique Castro "Quini". Our prediction for Sporting Gijón vs Real Valladolid is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sporting Gijón or Draw at 1.24.

Sporting Gijón form

Sporting Gijón have 11 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Real Valladolid form

Real Valladolid have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sporting Gijón won 1, Real Valladolid won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Sporting Gijón 2, Real Valladolid 2.

Our call

We expect Sporting Gijón to score about 1.7 goals and Real Valladolid about 0.9. That points to Sporting Gijón to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sporting Gijón or Draw at 1.24. Our bold bet is Sporting Gijón to win and Over 2.5 at 3.19.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Gijón	Valladolid
Games played	20	20
Wins	11	5
Draws	1	4
Losses	8	11
Goals scored	27	21
Goals conceded	24	27
Scored per game	1.4	1.1
Conceded per game	1.2	1.4
Home record	6W 1D 3L	5W 1D 3L
Away record	5W 0D 5L	0W 3D 8L
Clean sheets	30%	25%
Both teams scored	45%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	73%	1.36
Over 2.5 goals	47%	2.12
Over 3.5 goals	26%	3.90
Both teams to score	49%	2.06
Sporting Gijón or Draw	81%	1.24
Real Valladolid or Draw	45%	2.23
Sporting Gijón to win and Over 2.5	32%	3.11
Real Valladolid to win and Over 2.5	10%	9.95
Sporting Gijón clean sheet	41%	2.44
Real Valladolid clean sheet	19%	5.32

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%

1-012.2%

2-010.8%

2-19.6%

0-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sporting Gijón vs Real Valladolid?

Our prediction for Sporting Gijón vs Real Valladolid is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sporting Gijón or Draw at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Sporting Gijón vs Real Valladolid?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Sporting Gijón to score 1.7 goals and Real Valladolid 0.9.

Will both teams score in Sporting Gijón vs Real Valladolid?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Sporting Gijón last 20 games and 8 of Real Valladolid last 20.

How are Sporting Gijón playing?

How are Real Valladolid playing?

What happened when Sporting Gijón and Real Valladolid last met?

It ended Sporting Gijón 2, Real Valladolid 2. In the last 2 meetings Sporting Gijón won 1 and Real Valladolid won 0.

What is the best bet for Sporting Gijón vs Real Valladolid?

Sporting Gijón or Draw at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Gijón against Valladolid. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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