Predictions › United States › Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas

MLSSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United States time

Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas prediction

Sporting Park

Sporting Kansas CityHome

1.56 : 2.35

expected goals

FC DallasAway

25%Kansas City

20%Draw

55%Dallas

Eagle safe pickFC Dallas or Draw

-313

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas is FC Dallas to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is FC Dallas or Draw at -313.

Prediction: FC Dallas to win
Chance: 55%
Most likely score: 1-2
Expected goals: Sporting Kansas City 1.6, FC Dallas 2.4
Best bet: FC Dallas or Draw at -313
Both teams to score: 72%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Dallas or Draw

76% chanceFair price -3132 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Dallas to win and Over 2.5

45% chanceFair price +1241 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Sporting Kansas City 25%, the draw 20% and FC Dallas 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Sporting Kansas City took 4 points from their last 5 games and FC Dallas took 8 from 5. FC Dallas come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Sporting Kansas City won 3 of their last 10 games at home. FC Dallas won 6 of their last 13 on the road.
4
Goals
Sporting Kansas City score 1.4 goals a game and let in 2.5. FC Dallas score 1.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Sporting Kansas City games and 14 of FC Dallas games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Sporting Kansas City won 0 and FC Dallas won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended FC Dallas 4, Sporting Kansas City 3.
6
The safest bet
FC Dallas or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Kansas Cityrecent form-1%
Dallasrecent form+1%

Kansas City form D L D L WDallas form D W L W DHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas: FC Dallas are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sporting Kansas City host FC Dallas in the MLS on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Sporting Park. Our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas is FC Dallas to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is FC Dallas or Draw at -313.

Sporting Kansas City form

Sporting Kansas City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 49 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

FC Dallas form

FC Dallas have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Sporting Kansas City won 0, FC Dallas won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished FC Dallas 4, Sporting Kansas City 3.

Our call

We expect Sporting Kansas City to score about 1.6 goals and FC Dallas about 2.4. That points to FC Dallas to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Dallas or Draw at -313. Our bold bet is FC Dallas to win and Over 2.5 at +124.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Kansas City	Dallas
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	11
Draws	2	5
Losses	13	4
Goals scored	28	37
Goals conceded	49	32
Scored per game	1.4	1.9
Conceded per game	2.5	1.6
Home record	3W 2D 5L	5W 1D 1L
Away record	2W 0D 8L	6W 4D 3L
Clean sheets	5%	25%
Both teams scored	65%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	80%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	91%	-967
Over 2.5 goals	75%	-298
Over 3.5 goals	55%	-122
Both teams to score	72%	-257
Sporting Kansas City or Draw	45%	+121
FC Dallas or Draw	75%	-304
Sporting Kansas City to win and Over 2.5	20%	+409
FC Dallas to win and Over 2.5	45%	+122
Sporting Kansas City clean sheet	10%	+949
FC Dallas clean sheet	21%	+378

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-28.6%

1-17.8%

1-36.8%

2-26.7%

2-15.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?

Our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas is FC Dallas to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is FC Dallas or Draw at -313.

What is the score prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-3. We expect Sporting Kansas City to score 1.6 goals and FC Dallas 2.4.

Will both teams score in Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?

Both teams to score has a 72% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Sporting Kansas City last 20 games and 13 of FC Dallas last 20.

How are Sporting Kansas City playing?

How are FC Dallas playing?

What happened when Sporting Kansas City and FC Dallas last met?

It ended FC Dallas 4, Sporting Kansas City 3. In the last 1 meeting Sporting Kansas City won 0 and FC Dallas won 1.

What is the best bet for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?

FC Dallas or Draw at -313, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kansas City against Dallas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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