EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake
MLSSat 17 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake prediction

Sporting Park

Sporting Kansas CityHome
1.59 : 1.29
expected goals
Real Salt LakeAway
44%Kansas City
26%Draw
30%Salt Lake
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-330

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake is Sporting Kansas City to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -330.

Prediction
Sporting Kansas City to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sporting Kansas City 1.6, Real Salt Lake 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -330
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price -3302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sporting Kansas City to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price +2571 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sporting Kansas City 44%, the draw 26% and Real Salt Lake 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sporting Kansas City took 6 points from their last 5 games and Real Salt Lake took 3 from 5. Sporting Kansas City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sporting Kansas City won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Real Salt Lake won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sporting Kansas City score 1.3 goals a game and let in 2.4. Real Salt Lake score 1.2 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Sporting Kansas City games and 12 of Real Salt Lake games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 0 and Real Salt Lake won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Real Salt Lake 3, Sporting Kansas City 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kansas Cityrecent form-1%
  • Salt Lakerecent form-4%
Kansas City form L W L W LSalt Lake form W L L L LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake: Sporting Kansas City shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sporting Kansas City host Real Salt Lake in the MLS on Sat 17 Oct, 20:30 at Sporting Park. Our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake is Sporting Kansas City to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -330.

Sporting Kansas City form

Sporting Kansas City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 48 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Real Salt Lake form

Real Salt Lake have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sporting Kansas City won 0, Real Salt Lake won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Real Salt Lake 3, Sporting Kansas City 1.

Our call

We expect Sporting Kansas City to score about 1.6 goals and Real Salt Lake about 1.3. That points to Sporting Kansas City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -330. Our bold bet is Sporting Kansas City to win and Over 2.5 at +257.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Kansas CitySalt Lake
Games played2020
Wins54
Draws24
Losses1312
Goals scored2524
Goals conceded4834
Scored per game1.31.2
Conceded per game2.41.7
Home record3W 2D 4L4W 2D 4L
Away record2W 0D 9L0W 2D 8L
Clean sheets5%15%
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals75%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%-376
Over 2.5 goals55%-122
Over 3.5 goals33%+206
Both teams to score58%-141
Sporting Kansas City or Draw70%-230
Real Salt Lake or Draw56%-129
Sporting Kansas City to win and Over 2.528%+251
Real Salt Lake to win and Over 2.519%+422
Sporting Kansas City clean sheet27%+264
Real Salt Lake clean sheet20%+392

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
2-19.2%
1-08.2%
1-27.4%
2-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?

Our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake is Sporting Kansas City to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -330.

What is the score prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Sporting Kansas City to score 1.6 goals and Real Salt Lake 1.3.

Will both teams score in Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Sporting Kansas City last 20 games and 12 of Real Salt Lake last 20.

How are Sporting Kansas City playing?

Sporting Kansas City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 48 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Real Salt Lake playing?

Real Salt Lake have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Sporting Kansas City and Real Salt Lake last met?

It ended Real Salt Lake 3, Sporting Kansas City 1. In the last 2 meetings Sporting Kansas City won 0 and Real Salt Lake won 2.

What is the best bet for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?

Over 1.5 goals at -330, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kansas City against Salt Lake. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.