Predictions › Germany › SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg

2. BundesligaFri 18 Sept, 16:30 Germany time

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg prediction

Sportpark Ronhof - Thomas Sommer

SpVgg Greuther FürthHome

1.38 : 1.62

expected goals

1. FC MagdeburgAway

32%Greuther Furth

25%Draw

42%Magdeburg

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.57

Quick answer

Our prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg is 1. FC Magdeburg to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.57.

Prediction: 1. FC Magdeburg to win
Chance: 42%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.4, 1. FC Magdeburg 1.6
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.57
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

61% chancePrice 1.571 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

1. FC Magdeburg to win and Over 2.5

27% chanceFair price 3.711 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives SpVgg Greuther Fürth 32%, the draw 25% and 1. FC Magdeburg 42%. The bookmakers agree and make 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 2.45.
2
Recent form
SpVgg Greuther Fürth took 5 points from their last 5 games and 1. FC Magdeburg took 9 from 5. 1. FC Magdeburg come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 4 of their last 10 games at home. 1. FC Magdeburg won 4 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. 1. FC Magdeburg score 1.9 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth games and 12 of 1. FC Magdeburg games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 0 and 1. FC Magdeburg won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4, 1. FC Magdeburg 5.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 61% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Greuther Furthrecent form-3%
Magdeburgrecent form+4%
Greuther Furthrest between games-5%
Magdeburgrest between games-5%

Greuther Furth form D L W L LMagdeburg form W L W W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg: 1. FC Magdeburg shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SpVgg Greuther Fürth host 1. FC Magdeburg in the 2. Bundesliga on Fri 18 Sept, 16:30 at Sportpark Ronhof - Thomas Sommer. Our prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg is 1. FC Magdeburg to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.57.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth form

SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, D, newest first.

1. FC Magdeburg form

1. FC Magdeburg have 9 wins, 1 draw and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 0, 1. FC Magdeburg won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4, 1. FC Magdeburg 5.

Our call

We expect SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score about 1.4 goals and 1. FC Magdeburg about 1.6. That points to 1. FC Magdeburg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.57. Our bold bet is 1. FC Magdeburg to win and Over 2.5 at 3.71.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Greuther Furth	Magdeburg
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	9
Draws	5	1
Losses	8	10
Goals scored	31	37
Goals conceded	32	35
Scored per game	1.6	1.9
Conceded per game	1.6	1.8
Home record	4W 2D 4L	5W 1D 5L
Away record	3W 3D 4L	4W 0D 5L
Clean sheets	15%	25%
Both teams scored	70%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win	30%	3.32	2.60	-21.7%
A Draw	24%	4.17	3.50	-16.1%
1. FC Magdeburg to win	39%	2.53	2.45	-3.3%
Over 3.5 goals	36%	2.74	2.20	-19.8%
Under 3.5 goals	61%	1.63	1.57	-3.7%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth +0.5	61%	1.65	1.50	-9.1%
1. FC Magdeburg -0.5	37%	2.71	2.30	-15.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.24
Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.73
Over 3.5 goals	35%	2.83
Both teams to score	61%	1.65
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw	58%	1.74
1. FC Magdeburg or Draw	68%	1.47
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win and Over 2.5	21%	4.73
1. FC Magdeburg to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.50
SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet	20%	5.06
1. FC Magdeburg clean sheet	25%	3.99

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.8%

1-29.0%

2-17.7%

0-17.4%

0-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

What is the score prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score 1.4 goals and 1. FC Magdeburg 1.6.

Will both teams score in SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth last 20 games and 11 of 1. FC Magdeburg last 20.

How are SpVgg Greuther Fürth playing?

How are 1. FC Magdeburg playing?

What happened when SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Magdeburg last met?

It ended SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4, 1. FC Magdeburg 5. In the last 1 meeting SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 0 and 1. FC Magdeburg won 1.

What is the best bet for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.57, with a 61% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Greuther Furth against Magdeburg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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