EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Germany › SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel
2. BundesligaSun 1 Nov, 12:30 Germany time

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel prediction

Sportpark Ronhof - Thomas Sommer

SpVgg Greuther FürthHome
1.57 : 1.18
expected goals
Holstein KielAway
46%Greuther Furth
26%Draw
28%Holstein Kiel
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel is SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.6, Holstein Kiel 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SpVgg Greuther Fürth 46%, the draw 26% and Holstein Kiel 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    SpVgg Greuther Fürth took 5 points from their last 5 games and Holstein Kiel took 3 from 5. SpVgg Greuther Fürth come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Holstein Kiel won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Holstein Kiel score 1.2 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth games and 10 of Holstein Kiel games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 1 and Holstein Kiel won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Holstein Kiel 1, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Greuther Furthrecent form-3%
  • Holstein Kielrecent form-3%
Greuther Furth form D L D D LHolstein Kiel form D L D L DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: SpVgg Greuther Fürth are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SpVgg Greuther Fürth host Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga on Sun 1 Nov, 12:30 at Sportpark Ronhof - Thomas Sommer. Our prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel is SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth form

SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Holstein Kiel form

Holstein Kiel have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 1, Holstein Kiel won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Holstein Kiel 1, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2.

Our call

We expect SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score about 1.6 goals and Holstein Kiel about 1.2. That points to SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win and Over 2.5 at 3.65.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Greuther FurthHolstein Kiel
Games played2020
Wins75
Draws67
Losses78
Goals scored2924
Goals conceded2828
Scored per game1.41.2
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record5W 3D 3L2W 6D 2L
Away record2W 3D 4L3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored70%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.93
Over 3.5 goals30%3.37
Both teams to score56%1.80
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw72%1.39
Holstein Kiel or Draw54%1.84
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win and Over 2.528%3.52
Holstein Kiel to win and Over 2.517%5.99
SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet31%3.26
Holstein Kiel clean sheet21%4.80

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%
1-09.3%
2-19.3%
2-07.9%
0-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?

Our prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel is SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score 1.6 goals and Holstein Kiel 1.2.

Will both teams score in SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth last 20 games and 11 of Holstein Kiel last 20.

How are SpVgg Greuther Fürth playing?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Holstein Kiel playing?

Holstein Kiel have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, D, newest first.

What happened when SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Holstein Kiel last met?

It ended Holstein Kiel 1, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2. In the last 1 meeting SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 1 and Holstein Kiel won 0.

What is the best bet for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Greuther Furth against Holstein Kiel. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.